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Worsening state in B&H Airlines blamed on Turkish |
Bosnia and Herzegovina's Federal Minister for Transport and Communication, Enver BijediΔ, has blamed Turkish Airlines for the current state of its national carrier B&H Airlines which has fewer aircraft, routes and passengers than two years ago when the Turks relinquished their 49% stake, citing problems with the government. Speaking recently in an interview to Federal Television, Minister BijediΔ said, “B&H was used a gunnie pig by Turkish to test the market. In early 2012 the Turkish management ceased payments on loans for the financial lease of two ATR72 aircraft”. Subsequently, the outstanding loans would see B&H grounded for several months last year and its bank accounts blocked.
Mr. BijediΔ also notes that Turkish Airlines’ intentions were not all that noble when it came to B&H. “They launched the wrong routes. A total of ten new services were launched and ten were cancelled. As a result, B&H incurred a loss of some half a million euros. The Turks lied to us”. Under Turkish Airlines’ control, B&H Airlines was subleased a jet engine aircraft, first a Boeing 737-400, which was later replaced with an Airbus A319. However, the Turks did not deliver on their promise of providing two jet engine aircraft which would simultaneously operate on behalf of B&H by the end of 2010, as outlined in the takeover agreement.
Following its acquisition by Turkish Airlines, the Bosnian carrier launched a handful of new routes and became the busiest carrier operating out of Sarajevo with a market share of 26%. Today, that share has dwindled to only 4%. In 2012, B&H Airlines ended the year with a profit of almost half a million euros. Last year, the airline recorded a loss of two million euros. Furthermore, the carrier faces significant problems. Minister BijediΔ explains the previous government administration signed a damaging deal for the financial lease of two ATR72 aircraft which will likely be returned to its owner, the Hypo Group, in 2016. In addition, over the past year, seven pilots have left the carrier, creating a major operational headache for the small airline which counts only 104 employees. Turkish Airlines has refused to respond to the criticism.
Late last year B&H Airlines, which almost exclusively relied on its service to Istanbul, refocused its attention to nearby Belgrade and closer ties with Air Serbia. Acting CEO Amir JaΕΎiΔ says B&H cannot compete against the likes of Turkish Airlines on their route to Istanbul. However, the CEO notes that bilateral aviation agreements between Bosnia and Turkey, drafted more than a decade ago, give Turkey an unfair advantage in commercial operations. Turkish Airlines will run up to four daily flights between Istanbul and Sarajevo on selected days this summer season. On the other hand, B&H operates only four weekly flights between the two cities. The Bosnian carrier has had a bumpy start to its new service to Belgrade which now operates on a daily basis, however, passenger numbers have significantly improved over the past few months. In March, B&H carried 785 passengers on its flights to and from the Serbian capital. Minister BijediΔ remains optimistic that B&H Airlines will find a new part owner which will provide better treatment and conditions than its previous partner Turkish Airlines. However, the airline’s CEO recently warned the situation in the company was “alarming” and that each day was more “distressing”.
"carried 785 passengers on its flights to and from the Serbian capital"
ReplyDeleteSo that is 12,7 passenger per flight, or catastrophic load factor of just 19,2%.
And some people here try to tell us that this route is making progress and is not so bad now! What is bad for you if 19% LF is not bad?
Your calculation is wrong. March was still winter season with four weekly flights. LF was around 35%.
DeleteI'm not surprised if this is their best route. My flight with BH last week an, I only flew with them because I had to go urgently back to Sarajevo I counted 7 passengers on board including myself. I will see how it is on the return flight in 10 days.
Delete*and
DeleteAnd 35% is also DISASTER!
DeleteIt actually is not a disaster if you know that they started out with 2, 3 passengers. ;)
DeleteStill it is. Far, far away from profitability. With prices of those tickets LF should be 95% to make it profitable.
DeleteCalculating profitability of a route is not a simple thing. There are many factors to be taken into consideration. For example most of SN Brussels' half-empty flights to Africa are more profitable than their packed flight to Washington D.C. ;)
DeleteTypical reasoning of Balkan politicians who consider public corporations their family heritage. It is always 'those other guys' who are to blame, god forbid our divine politicians did anything wrong...
ReplyDeleteI also love the way they interpreted TK's superior coverage of SJJ as 'unfair advantage' (Serbian authorities often suffer from similar 'logic'). They sign a billateral with Turkey that allows both parties certain number of flights. Then TK use that allowance 100%, poor Balkan airlines prove themselves incapable of utilizing more than 20% and they of course blame TK. I guess TK should reduce their frequencies to those pathetic levels so that our poor local giants don't feel disadvantaged. Great thinking.
Agree with you except the last bit. TK uses over the allowed limit as outlined by the bilateral but no one cares.
DeleteE sad, ovi kao da su uΔili kod naΕ‘e aktualne politiΔke garniture, pa im je vjerovatno joΕ‘ i Aeroput kriv Ε‘to oni danas imaju tek 4% udjela na SJJ. Turkish je zasigurno kriv i Ε‘to im dan danas jedan avion stoji nezaposlen na stajanci, a istovrmeno OMO ΕΎudi za linijom prema FCO i IST, ili prema SJJ koju je lokalna vlast voljna financirati, nema letova prema nizu moguΔih ruta gdje bi ATR bio viΕ‘e nego dovoljan (MPX, PRG, DUS, FRA, ATH, FCO). Istovremeno avion leti za CPH, najduΕΎu ATR liniju na svijetu, Ε‘to je demotivirajuΔe za putnike i svakako neisplativo. Isto tako letjeti sa ATR prema CPH kao konkurencija jetovima Norwegiana, i prema Istanbulu kao konkurencija jetovima Pegasusa i Turkisha i to sa 4 tjedna leta u usporedbi sa njihovih 4 dnevna je viΕ‘e nego smjeΕ‘no. Nije ni Δudo da kompanija propada.
ReplyDeleteRealno gledano, sa 2 ATR-a oni i ne mogu biti niΕ‘ta viΕ‘e od mikro regionalne kompanije koja sluΕΎi kao feeder veΔim regionalnim kompanijama.
DeleteKoliko dugo Δe moΔi uopΔe opstati na trΕΎiΕ‘tu? Sprema li se i njima privatizacija? Ε½elim im sve najbolje!
DeleteProblem is with common peoples sense who thinks there are brothers among world powers (The Group 20 members) who might be out patrons and protect us in diplomatic and economic way: Croats - Germany, Bosniaks - Turkey, Serbs - Rossia. The fact is in each of their respective states "patron state" investors are the worst. Lufthansa destroyed OU, Turkish destroyed JA. Russians did not mess with JAT but i see how "good" they invest in NIS they got for practically free. Forget about "brotherhood" with superpowers!
ReplyDeleteNow we are going of the aviation topic but I don't see what's wrong with Gasprom's investmant into NIS. They did get it cheep but the price reflected the condition it was in. After that they invested lot more then they were contractually obligated, expanded throughout the region etc. They are making money these days and government is complaining that they keep reinvesting dividends, they would like to see them paid out. #shorttermthinking
DeleteIt is about aviation, i remember how Bosnians were convinced that Turkish will make their carrier a leader in Ex Yu. However, a good chance for JU to take over JA and YM
DeleteAir serbia should overtake BH airlines and start new base in banja luka or Sarajevo
ReplyDeleteMight be a good choice (along wiht Montenegro Airllines) but they should get their house in order and start making money first before they look at acquisitions
Deletecome on guys, two bases in 300km range? Ain't gonna work. JU should take over markets and let YM and JA be absorbed.
DeleteSo one airline on the verge of bankrupcy should take over another two, in even worse state, and all of that on borrowed money?
DeleteI doubt Air Serbia is opening any new bases soon. They don't even want to start flights from Nis to anywhere also. This would take away from their hub strategy.
DeletePerhaps JU would take over B&H and have them become a feeder with these routes and cancel all other routes.
BEG-SJJ
BEG-BNX
BEG-OMO (Mostar)
NERAZUMEM DA BH AIRLINES NEMOZE UZETI 1 BOEING 737-800 ILI JEDAN AIRBUS A 320 NA LEASING.
ReplyDeleteTO BISE ISPLATILO POSTO U SKANDINAVIJI ZIVI DOSTA BOSANACA.
NS
GOSPODINE PURGER JEL BI HTELI DA OSTAVITE LINK OVDE KAKO PRICATE NA AL JAZEERA KANALU AKO IMA VIDEO.
ReplyDeleteNS
Ako misliΕ‘ na video koji i nije baΕ‘ nov, taj video je bio objavljen na ovom blogu, netko je bio postavio link. JoΕ‘ neΕ‘to, iskljuΔi, molim te, "caps lock" na kompjuteru jer ovako pokazujeΕ‘ koliko si primitivan i informatiΔki nepismen, a za to ti nije kriva ni Austrija ni Ε‘kola u koju ideΕ‘!
Deletehttp://balkans.aljazeera.net/video/kontekst-dominacija-bliskoistocnih-aviokompanija
DeleteKO SI TI UOPSTE DA ODREDJUJES DALI JE NEKO PRIMITIVAN ILI NE ILI DALI CE PISATI SVE VELIKIM ILI MALIM SLOVIMA I KO KOLKO PRAVI GRESAKA.
ReplyDeleteNS
It is really just a question of very simple rules that we all should follow. Writing in all caps is like shouting. And that's simply not polite.
DeleteHere here!
ReplyDeleteNot to mention that "nemoΕΎe" is written as two words!
SRAMOTA ME JE PRIJATELJU Ε TO MI BLATIΕ SVOJIM POTPISOM NOVI SAD.
SRAMOTA!
Sta se deres bre Englez?
DeleteNemoj sad ti nas, Britanske gastarbajtere, da brukas :) ;)
JEL JASNO BREEE hi hi hi
Π ΠΎ ΡΠΎΠΌΠ΅ ΡΡΠΎ ΠΎΠ±ΠΎΡΠ΅ Π±ΡΠ΄Π°Π»Π΅ ΠΏΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠ΅ Π»Π°ΡΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡΠΎΠΌ, Π½Π΅ΡΠ΅ΠΌΠΎ Π½ΠΈ ΠΏΡΠΈΡΠ°ΡΠΈ...
DeleteΠΠ²ΠΎ ΡΠ΅ Π±Π»ΠΎΠ³ ΠΎ Π°Π²ΠΈΡΠ°ΡΠΈΡΠΈ Π° Π½Π΅ Π³ΡΠ°ΠΌΠ°ΡΠΈΡΠΈ. Π’ΠΎ ΡΡΠΎ ΡΠ΅ Π²Π΅Π»ΠΈΠΊΠ° ΡΠ»ΠΎΠ²Π° ΡΠΌΠ°ΡΡΠ°ΡΡ Π²ΠΈΠΊΠ°ΡΠ΅ΠΌ ΠΠ ΠΠΠΠ§Π ΠΠ ΠΠΠ Π‘Π’ΠΠΠ ΠΠ ΠΠΠ§Π!
ReplyDelete@purger
-ΠΠ°Π΄Π° Π΄Π° ΠΎΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΡΠ΅ΠΌΠΎ Π»Π΅ΡΠΎΠ²Π΅ Π·Π° ΠΠ°Π³ΡΠ΅Π±? ΠΠ΅Π½ΠΈ ΡΠ΅ Π»ΠΈΡΠ½ΠΎ Π²ΡΠ»ΠΎ ΡΡΠ΄Π½ΠΎ ΡΡΠΎ ΡΠ° Π»ΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡΠ° Π½ΠΈΡΠ΅ Ρ ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΠΌ ΠΏΡΠ²ΠΎΠΌ ΡΠ°Π»Π°ΡΡ ΠΏΡΠΎΡΠΈΡΠ΅ΡΠ°...
-ΠΠ° Π»ΠΈ ΠΌΠΈΡΠ»ΠΈΡ Π΄Π° ΡΠ΅ ΡΡΡΠ°ΡΠ΅Π³ΠΈΡΠ° OU ΠΎ ΠΏΡΠΈΠΊΡΡΡΠΈΠ²Π°ΡΡ Π°Π»ΠΈΡΠ°Π½ΡΠΈ Π±ΠΈΠ»Π° ΠΏΠΎΠ³ΡΠ΅ΡΠ½Π°, ΠΈ Π΄Π° Π»ΠΈ ΡΠ΅ ΡΠΎ ΡΠ°Π·Π»ΠΎΠ³ ΡΡΠΎ OU Π½ΠΈΡΠ΅ Π½Π°ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΠΎΠ²Π°Π»Π° Π΄Π°ΡΠ΅ ΠΎΠ΄ feedera LF?
-ΠΠΌΠ° Π»ΠΈ ΠΈΠΊΠ°ΠΊΠ²ΠΈΡ Π½Π°Π·Π½Π°ΠΊΠ° Π΄Π° Π±ΠΈ ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΠ° ΠΌΠΎΠ³Π»Π° Ρ Π½Π΅ΠΊΡ Π²ΡΡΡΡ ΡΡΠ·ΠΈΡΠ΅ ΡΠ° Adriom?
ΠΠ° Π±ΡΠ΄Π΅ΠΌ ΠΈΡΠΊΡΠ΅Π½, ΡΠ°ΠΌΠ° ΠΏΠΎΠΌΠΈΡΠ°ΠΎ Π΄Π° Π΄ΡΠΆΠ°Π²Π° ΠΊΠ°ΠΎ ΡΡΠΎ ΡΠ΅ Π₯ΡΠ²Π°ΡΡΠΊΠ° ΠΈΠΌΠ° ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΡ ΠΊΠΎΡΠ° ΡΠ΅ Π½Π° ΠΈΠ·Π΄ΠΈΡΠ°ΡΡ, ΠΏΡΠ΅Π΄ΡΡΠ°Π²ΡΠ° ΡΠ΅Π΄Π½Ρ ΠΎΠ΄ Π½Π°ΡΠ²Π΅ΡΠΈΡ Π΅Π½ΠΈΠ³ΠΌΠΈ EXYU. ΠΠ°ΠΊΠΎ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄ΡΠΆΠ°Π²Π°ΠΌ ΡΠ²ΠΎΡ ΡΡΠ°Π² ΠΎ Π»ΠΎΡΠΎΡ ΡΠΏΡΠ°Π²ΡΠ°ΡΠΊΠΎΡ ΠΏΠΎΠ»ΠΈΡΠΈΡΠΈ, ΠΈΠΏΠ°ΠΊ ΡΠ΅ ΡΠΎ ΠΏΡΠ΅Π²Π΅Π»ΠΈΠΊΠΈ fail Π΄Π° Π½Π΅ Π²ΠΈΠ΄ΠΈΠΌ Π½Π°ΠΌΠ΅ΡΡ LF Π΄Π° ΡΠ½ΠΈΡΡΠΈ ΡΡ ΠΊΠΎΠΌΠΏΠ°Π½ΠΈΡΡ....
Π‘ΠΌΠ°ΡΡΠ°ΠΌ ΡΠ΅ Π½Π°ΡΡΠΏΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΈΡΠΈΠΌ Ρ ΠΌΠ°ΡΠ΅ΡΠΈΡΡ, ΠΏΠ° Π·Π°ΡΠΎ ΠΏΠΈΡΠ°ΡΠ° ΡΠ΅Π±ΠΈ. ΠΠΊΠΎ Π½Π΅ΠΊΠΎ Π΄ΡΡΠ³ΠΈ ΠΈΠΌΠ° Π±ΠΈΠ»Ρ ΠΊΠ°ΠΊΠ²Ρ ΠΈΠ½ΡΠΎΡΠΌΠ°ΡΠΈΡΡ Π½Π΅ΠΊ ΠΏΠΎΠ΄Π΅Π»ΠΈ.
ΠΠΎΠ·Π·
Penetracijska strategija Air Serbie ima neke zakonitosti. Nije pameto istovremeno pucati na toliko frontova. I tu Air Serbia ekstremno pametno igra igru:
Delete1. Udarac na slabijeg igraΔa: Adriju. Svakodnevne frekvencije, dumping, bolja usluga. Rezultat: iznenaΔujuΔe brzo povlaΔenje Adrije sa linije. Air Serbija sada moΕΎe postaviti isplativu cijenu (joΕ‘ uvijek ne onu pravu koju Δe postaviti kad osvoji trΕΎiΕ‘te i to radi potrebe konektiranih putnika), LF je bitno bolji jer preuzimaju i Adrijine putnike koji moraju putovati na ovoj liniji. Rezultat 2: Adrija smanjuje letove ka linijama gdje je konkurencija JU, a poveΔava PRN i TIA gdje JU neΔe u dogledno vrijeme letjeti.
2. Najbolji moguΔi deal sa B&H Airlinesom. Kompanija nije aposlutno nikakva opasnost, jadni su i oΔajni. Nemaju snage za udarac na Banja Luku, imaju samo 4% u SJJ. I zato im se nudi code-share za BEG. LogiΔno, koristi se jeftini prijevozik (troΕ‘kovi niΕΎi nego Δak i u jeftinoj Srbiji), njegova logistika, prodajna mreΕΎa, lokalni image, nema konkurencije, odbija se bilo kakva suradnja JA sa potencijalnim protivnicima (LH, OU, JP, OS, TK). Kada se uvidjelo da jedan let za BEG nije dovoljan i da je kompanija na izdisaju, nudi im se da za JU lete neke linije iz BEG. Win-win kombinacija za sve. JA tako dobiva linije koje inaΔe ne bi mogla letjeti zbog premalog broja putnika, a sada sa 1stop via BEG moΕΎe (npr. SJJ-BEG-SKP, SJJ-BEG-TGD). Air Serbia dobiva jeftine kapacitet koji im i te kako trebaju. Na isti naΔin sprijeΔava suradnju JA sa drugima jer viΕ‘e namaju slobodnih kapaciteta (do sada je jedan avion nezaposleno ΔuΔao na stajanci, sa leti za JU), a i odrΕΎavaju ih na ΕΎivotu. Jer sa jednim nezaposlenim avioniom jure ka bankrotu. Ovako Δe ΕΎivotariti, ali JU i ne treba u SJJ niΕ‘ta drugo nego da JA ΕΎivotari i feeda ih.
3. Istoremeno takav deal se ne nudi Montenegru, Ε‘to bi moΕΎda izgledalo i logiΔno. No, JU ovdje ΕΎeli uniΕ‘titi slabaΕ‘nu kompaniju i vrlo vjerovatno je preuzeti. Pa potom feedati svoje linije uz pokoji visokoprofitabilni let i pokoji charter. Za to trebaju ne viΕ‘e od tri aviona u Crnoj Gori.
4. I sad dolazimo do Croatie. Ona je najjaΔi igraΔ, neΔe sa njom iΔi lako kao sa Adrijom. Profitabilna je, ima novu flotu (daleko noviju i od Air Serbie), daleko najviΕ‘e putnika (a tako Δe biti joΕ‘ bar godinu dana, vjerovatno i dvije), ima potencijala, tek 2015. izlazi iz restrukturacije i kreΔe se Ε‘iriti. I tu se vidi kvaliteta strategije. Pustiti ih joΕ‘ godinu dana da se sami uruΕ‘uju. Istovremeno Air Serbija jaΔa. I potom udara kad je najjaΔa, a dok je Croatia najslabija (ljeto 2015.), tj. prije nego Ε‘to kreΔe Croatijina ekspanzija. Vrijeme nije na Croatijinoj strani, ali svakako radi za Air Serbiju. No, predradnje su veΔ postavljene. PoveΔan je broj polazaka za DBV i SPU, to je penetracija na mala vrata. Kada se Air Serbija odluΔi za udarac (a to ovisi o stanju u Croatiji) budite sigurni da Δe to znaΔiti dva dnevna leta za DBV, SPU i ZAG, te po jedan dnevni let za ZAD, RJK i PUY. U tom kontekstu vrlo je vjerovatno zadrΕΎavanje i zimskih letova sa bar tri frekvencije za DBV koji je u ovom trenu slaba toΔka CTN-ova rezanja troΕ‘kova.
5. I to bi trebao biti odluΔujuΔi udarac na CTN koji bi rezultirao povlaΔenjem iz SJJ, SKP i PRN, te daljim smanjenjem letova za SPU, DBV, PUY i ZAD. Naravno, isto znaΔi i smanjenje letova iz ZAG za druge destinacije zbog smanjenog broja konektiranih putnika, ali i odvlaΔenja dijela putnika u BEG. To Δe znaΔiti i poveΔanje putnika na liniji BNX-BEG koji viΕ‘e neΔe imati ZAG kao primarnu zraΔnu luku radi manjeg broja letova.
6. JU neΔe uspjeti u ovladavanju ovog trΕΎiΕ‘ta ako ovo ne napravi do ljeta 2015. jer za JU i OU nema mjesta na ovom trΕΎiΕ‘tu. Netko mora otpasti, JP veΔ jest. KonaΔno ovo je jedino ozbiljno trΕΎiΕ‘te za bilo koga, pa i za JU. Realnih 9 dnevnih letova jest viΕ‘e od 300.000 potencijalnih putnika Air Serbije. A ako to uspiju onda prestaju dumping cijene i kreΔe ozbiljan posao, sa kvalitetnim LF i daleko viΕ‘im cijenama nego danas (vjerujte, onda Δete urlati zaΕ‘to je Wizz pokupio krpice). Sve se zapravo svodi na to ima li Air Serbia dovoljno sredstava za ovu penetracijsku strategiju i da li sve teΔe po planu (ako se gubitak gomila brΕΎe od plana onda neΔe biti sredstava za dogotavljanje plana, a to znaΔi i rezanje planova ekspanzije, prvenstveno u Hrvatskoj). Jer ako ne uspiju isfinancirati ovaj projekt, ako ne postanu profitabilni do kraja 2015. onda poΔinju problemi i rezanja od strane Etihada. ToviΕ‘e Ε‘to uz Alitaliju Etihad viΕ‘e ne treba Air Serbiu toliko jaku kao prije mjesec dana. Sada imaju i drugog igraΔa za ovo trΕΎiΕ‘te, koji im je daleko vaΕΎniji.
Delete7. Jedini moguΔi odgovor CTN-a je ubrzana ekspanzija prije kraja restrukturacije ili kupovina od nekog ozbiljnog igraΔa. Za prvo vjerovatno nema sredstava, a potencijalnih kupaca ima jako jako malo.
No, CEO CTN-a tvrdi da nema nikakve opasnosti od Air Serbije. Bravo majstore. I da stvar bude to tragikomiΔnija, ja sam 2010. prezentirao plan Predsjedniku RH, tadaΕ‘njem ministru i svim direktorima CTN-a u kojem su identiΔnu priΔu trebali napraviti da ekstremno brzo dotuku Jat (uz razliku da se sa Montenegrom trebalo uΔi u deal kao i sa B&H Airlinesom, a ne da se ide na uniΕ‘tenje, te uz davanje franΕ‘ize Trade airu za neke linije), te time preuzmu vodeΔu ulogu u regiji. Da se to napravilo danas ne bi bilo Air Serbije jer Etihad ne bi imao Ε‘to kupiti.
PrikljuΔivanje alijansi prije 10 godina bilo je odliΔan potez koji je mogao CTN izbaciti daleko iznad konkurencije. KonaΔno Adrija je takoΔer uΕ‘la i to je mogla biti prekretnica koja bi koΕ‘tala CTN. No, ulazak u Star Alliance je bila totalna glupost. I SkyTeam i oneworld bi bili daleko bolje opcije jer na ovom prostoru nisu imali partnera (Malev je tek kasnije uΕ‘ao u oneworld). Prvo Star ima dva igraΔa ovdje (daleko jaΔi Austrijan na kojem sve temelji, i Adriju), a i sama Lufthansa je blizu sa nemalo linija. Naravno i Turkish je sveprisutan (iako se to 2003. nije moglo znati poΕ‘to je Turkish tek tada krenuo u ekpanziju). Drugo, veΔ tada je bilo vidljivo da Lufthansa proΕΎdire svoju djecu (scenarij Eurowingsa, Dolomita, Austrijana, Brusselsa, Swissa). Sad je samo pitanje jesu li SkyTeam i oneworld uopΔe htjeli CTN ili je Star bio jedina opcija. Ako jest, i ja bih tada tako odluΔio. No, Δak i ako je to istina, nije mi jasno zaΕ‘to OU nije izaΕ‘la iz Stara 2008-2010. I preΕ‘la u neku drugu alijansu, toviΕ‘e Ε‘to to koΕ‘ta samo 2 milijuna EUR. Izgovor managementa je da bi Lufthasina odmazda bila okrutna i pogubna za OU. A ovako? Onako moΕΎeΕ‘ dobiti zaΕ‘titu Air France/Delte ili British/Americana ako pametno odigraΕ‘ igru. Ovako sigurno umireΕ‘. NeΕ‘to polakΕ‘e, ali sigurno. Ε to je i vidljivo.
Lufthansa ne kani uniΕ‘titi Croatiju, ona je samo kani izmusti do krajnjih granica. Cilj: Croatia ukida linije prema LHR, LGW, CDG, AMS, CPH, IST, BCN, PRN, SKP, ali poveΔava prema FRA, MUC, VIE, ZRH, BRU. To sam rekao joΕ‘ 2009. i javno naglasio da Δe se desiti, tj. da Δe Croatia doΕΎivjeti sudbinu Dolomita koji lete iz svakog talijanskog sela prema Munchenu, Δak im je i baza u Munchenu, ne viΕ‘e u Veroni. I Ε‘to se desilo u samo tri godine? Ukinuo se IST, sve ostalo se smanjilo i to ozbiljno. No, poveΔao se broj polazaka prema FRA, MUC, VIE, ZRH, BRU i to ne samo iz ZAG. Za LH hubove leti se Δak i iz ZAD.
+1 to Purger. Great analysis.
DeleteIn my opinion, Croatia is the golden egg for JU. If JU could somehow manage to break into that market, and become a serious force there, it would be the biggest accomplishment for JU so far.
Another front where we might see JU attempt to capture in the future is Romania/Moldova Market. There are a few airports there that could possibly sustain daily ATR 72 flights. Breaking into the Romanian market might be done at the same time as launching flights to Spain.
@purger
DeleteJako zanimljive observacije.
Rekoste da ste prezentirali plan predsjedniku, direktorima itd. U 2010. Zanima me, ako nije tajna naravno, u kojem svojstvu ste to radili tj. ko vas je pozvao (politicari ili struka) i kakva je bila njihova reakcija na sve to? Ovo pitam jer mi sadasnj OU rukovodstvo izgleda jako pasivno, zanima me dali je tada bilo ista drugacije. Hvala jos jednom.
Analiza od nekih 200 stranica (apsolutno svi segmenti poslovanja CTN-a) naruΔena je od HSPP-a (Hrvatskih sindikata prometnih pilota, tj. sindikata pilota CTN-a), koji su shvatili ozbiljnost situacije i ΕΎeljeli inicirati promjene.
DeletePredsjednik Republike i ministar vrlo su pozitivno ocjenili Analizu, generalni direktor (tada je bio SreΔko Ε imunoviΔ) hrabro je odsluΕ‘ao tih 25 sati pa Δak neke stvari i nahvalio, ali njegovi podreΔeni direktori su smatrali da ih se napada i da im se na nos nabija nesposobnost, pa su se svih 25 sati trudili diskreditirati svaku stavku (tu ih je Ε imunoviΔ viΕ‘ekratno morao lupiti po prstima, jer se jako trudio sa pilotima napraviti atmosferu "svi Δemo zajedno izgraditi bolju CTN"). Pokoji puta to je bilo Δak i tragikomiΔno, pa su tako jednom prilikom (2. dan prezentacije) naveli kako CTN drΕΎi 50% prometa u SKP, Ε‘to sam ja veΔ iduΔi dan demantirao e-mailom generalnog direktora TAV Skopje koji mi je napisao da je udio samo 8% (neznatno viΕ‘e od Jata, daleko manje od Austriana, Turkisha...).
Pozitivna stvar je da su veΔ u iduΔem redu letenja neke stvari iskoristili (sastavni dio analize je bio konkretan red letenja sa postojeΔim potencijalima), no, naΕΎalost, puno premalo, ne viΕ‘e od 5%.
The fact that Air Serbia is increasing its presence in Dubrovnik the moment OU is downsizing there clearly shows that people in Belgrade are following what is happening in Zagreb.
DeleteI also like the schedule they are proposing for Croatia this summer. It's an early afternoon departure which is perfect for O&D people while those who would connect in Belgrade don't really care if they arrive late in the evening to various European cities (I am referring to the 17 o'clock wave of departures) as they are mostly holidaymakers or VFR.
There is also another thing which I found very interesting. When it comes to Air Serbia's regional routes, some of them such as Banja Luka or Sofia have 50% of their loads made up of O&D passengers. This is a very good thing as this kind of passengers drive the yields up.
+1 Purger
ReplyDeleteΠ₯Π²Π°Π»Π° Π·Π° Π°Π½Π°Π»ΠΈΠ·Ρ! ΠΠΎΠΆΠ΄Π° ΠΌΠΈ Nemjee ΠΎΠ΄Π³ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΠΈ Π·Π° Π»ΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡΡ Π·Π° ΠΠ°Π³ΡΠ΅Π±.... ΠΡΠΎΡΡΠΎ ΠΌΠΈ ΡΠ΅ Π½Π΅Π²Π΅ΡΠΎΠ²Π°ΡΠ½ΠΎ Π΄Π° ΡΠ°ΠΊΠ²Π° Π»ΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡΠ° Π½ΠΈΡΠ΅ ΠΏΡΠΈΠΎΡΠΈΡΠ΅Ρ.
Etihad plans on serving Zagreb through Rome with Alitalia.
DeleteIs that unofficial or official news? Thanks anyway!
DeleteΠ Π°Π·Π»ΠΎΠ³ ΡΠ΅ ΡΠ΅Π΄Π½ΠΎΡΡΠ°Π²Π°Π½, Π½Π΅ΠΌΠ° Π΄ΠΎΠ²ΠΎΡΠ½ΠΎ ΠΡΡΠΎΠ²Π° Π΄Π° Π±ΠΈΡ ΡΠ΅ ΠΏΠΎΠΊΡΠ΅Π½ΡΠ»Π΅ ΡΠ²Π΅ ΡΠ΅Π³ΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»Π½Π΅ Π»ΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡΠ΅ ΠΎΠ΄ ΡΠ΅Π΄Π½ΠΎΠΌ. ΠΠ°ΡΠ° ΠΡΠΊΠ° ΡΠ΅ ΠΏΡΡΡΠ΅Π½Π° ΠΌΠ΅ΡΡ ΠΏΡΠ²ΠΈΠΌ Π·Π°ΡΠΎ ΡΡΠΎ ΡΠ΅ ΡΠΎ Π±ΠΈΠ»Π° Π»ΠΈΡΠ½Π° ΠΆΠ΅ΡΠ° ΠΈΠ·Π²ΡΡΠ½ΠΎΠ³ Π΄ΠΈΡΠ΅ΠΊΡΠΎΡΠ°, ΡΠΎ ΡΠ΅ΡΡ ΠΠΎΠ½Π΄ΠΈΡΠ°.
DeleteΠΠ΅Π½ΠΈ ΡΠ΅ ΡΠ°ΠΊΠΎ Π΄ΡΠ°Π³ΠΎ ΡΡΠΎ ΠΡΠ΄ΠΈΠΌΠΏΠ΅ΡΡΠ° ΠΈΠΌΠ° ΡΠΎΠ»ΠΈΠ΄Π½Ρ ΠΏΠΎΠΏΡΡΠ΅Π½ΠΎΡΡ, Π·Π½Π°ΡΠ½ΠΎ Π±ΠΎΡΡ Π½Π΅Π³ΠΎ Π‘ΠΎΡΠΈΡΠ°. ΠΠ°Π½ΠΈΠΌΡΠΈΠ²ΠΎ ΡΠ΅ ΡΠΎ Π΄Π° Π‘ΠΎΡΠΈΡΠ° ΠΈΠΌΠ° Π΄ΠΎΡΡΠ° ΠΏΡΡΠ½ΠΈΠΊΠ° ΡΠ° ΡΠ΅Π³ΠΈΠΎΠ½Π°Π»Π½ΠΈΡ Π»ΠΈΠ½ΠΈΡΠ° ΠΊΠ°ΠΎ ΡΡΠΎ ΡΡ ΠΡΠ΄ΠΈΠΌΠΏΠ΅ΡΡΠ° ΠΈΠ»ΠΈ ΠΡΠ±ΡΠ°Π½Π°.