NEWS FLASH
Zagreb Airport handled a record 3.336.310 passengers in 2018, representing an increase of 7.9% on the previous year or an additional 244.263 travellers. The number of flight operations stood at 43.688, up 5.1%. During 2018, Zagreb Airport saw a number of carriers launch new scheduled flights to the city, including Aegean Airlines, Air Canada Rouge, Korean Air, Flydubai and Silver Air, while Croatia Airlines introduced two new routes from its hub.
| Month | PAX | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|
| JAN | 191.276 | ▲ 13.3 |
| FEB | 170.658 | ▲ 10.3 |
| MAR | 223.642 | ▲ 16.2 |
| APR | 253.853 | ▲ 5.7 |
| MAY | 300.676 | ▲ 11.8 |
| JUN | 331.533 | ▲ 6.6 |
| JUL | 379.193 | ▲ 7.9 |
| AUG | 372.590 | ▲ 7.2 |
| SEP | 345.770 | ▲ 4.5 |
| OCT | 318.074 | ▲ 6.9 |
| NOV | 234.075 | ▲ 5.1 |
| DEC | 214.865 | ▲ 4.5 |
Is December and indicator of what to expect in 2019? Around 5% growth?
ReplyDeleteBy the way, the French said they expected 10% growth in 2018. Have they made any predictions for 2019?
Pretty sure they always said they were aiming for 8%.
DeleteMaybe 10% was their initial forecast before the revision.
DeleteSorry, Admin, is the growth percentage 7.9 or 8.86?
DeleteThank you. So management goal was almost achieved.
DeleteAlmost indeed. Next year it will do better.
DeleteNext year, as in 2020? Or 2019? I honestly doubt we will have 5% growth in ZAG this year. Unfortunately. No new routes, OU in a really bad shape...
DeleteSorry, I meant 2019 as in next year. :D
DeleteI think routes that we have now will keep on performing well. I think Iberia, Lot and Aegean will add more flights later on in teh year. There is still time.
Ah, ok, agree with you, Anon 18:04, but things have to change, really, and we desperately need new announcements. :)
DeleteI thought we could have some news regarding possible flights to US or China, obviously not this year.
Eurowings is the best option for US flights. Unfortunately Norwegian is not doing well now so i don't think they could do it.
DeleteI never thought it would be Norwegian, should be an American carrier and seasonally (at least in the beginning, depending on the traffic). We'll see how AA performs in DBV, the numbers should be good.
DeleteWould love to see Delta in ZAG, at least seasonally!
DeleteMaybe next summer we see PHL-DBV-ZAG-DBV-PHL? Having a tag from DBV could do wonders for the route.
DeleteKE saved ZAG in December.
ReplyDeleteExactly.
DeleteTaking in consideration that almost no new routes or new companies announced flying to ZAG in 2019 it might be treated as success if even 5% get achieved
Depends on who you believe.
DeleteIn God ($) we trust
DeleteWait, how could KE have saved ZAG if their flights are empty, with only 30 people on board?
DeleteNo no KE was flying empty!!!!!
DeleteIt was. Wasn't it?
DeleteGreat result for ZAG!!! It also shows BNX did not affect the numbers as some claimed.
ReplyDeleteBNX got flights in November.
DeleteZAG will feel it more and more starting from 2019.
DeleteAnd I do not think there is any reason for joy - in first 4 months of 2018 average increase was 11,37% and in last 4 months 5,25%.
This trend is expected to be continued
Yeah but ZAG still kept on growing despite Ryanair flights.
DeleteInteresting how in November growth slowed down, could it really be BNX effect?
DeleteDecember as well despite Advent.
DeleteWithout KE it would have been disaster
Anon 11.30
DeleteMaybe it was lower in the last month because of some winter increases that started in October 2017? BNX doesn't have to be the reason.
I wouldn't call it a disaster but growth would be around 3% which isn't bad.
DeleteAnd without OU will be more disaster? I Cant realize the point of this comments. Without increase will be decrease, no shit sherlock
Deletea growth of 8% for a 3mil airport isnt bad.
Deletebtw. too funny :D the BNX fanboys are trolling ZAG the same way as the INI ones did SKP, "November", "3%". perhaps is the same person :D
again 8% is a good achievement. kudos
Anon 11.47
DeleteOnly difference is that people from INI mostly used BEG to fly. People from BNX mostly used ZAG to fly. So if BNX is getting flights then it means it will affect more ZAG than INI affected SKP.
BNX in November:
Delete2017: 997
2018: 8.272
Those passengers had to come from somewhere as most of them flew in the past. So which airport did they use if not BNX?
@anon 12:09
DeleteYou can find your answer in last 2 months of the spreadsheet in article :-)
I think BNX will receive much more routes. The next one will be either Laudamotion from STR or STN from Ryanair. But yes, the decrease of growth in December coincides with the new BNX flights. Strange.
DeleteWhat about Paris? Could there be demand as well?
DeleteZAG needs to start advertizing once again in order to keep its clients.
Yes, Paris is also a possibility.
DeleteWhat I have realised lately, that BNX is actively promoting its airport on Facebook and gaining more popularity.
ZAG should do the same.
But if we compare the traffic types then BNX is like 95% gasto and ZAG is a mix of everything: mainly tourism, transfer to the coast and some parts of Europe.
Also the traffic coming from Korea is now considered extremely important.
ZAG's costs are quite high, I don't think they have the luxury to hand over a single passenger to any other airport. Koreans are as important as gastos from Srpska.
DeleteNext route VIE from BNX
DeleteThose passenger to BNX come from Buses. Flying is now cheaper than going by coach.
DeleteMath is simple here. BNX will have 8 weekly Ryanair flights with the plane that have 189 seats. That mean 1512 seats every week or around 6800 seats every month. That is around 80000 seats every year or 160000 pax if they have 100% load factor. So if all of them are using ZAG before that is impact of max 5%. Realistically BNX should have impact to ZAG numbers probably less than 1%, because Ryanair will not have 100% LF and maybe 20% of pax will be previous ZAG users.
DeleteTheir LF is 94% in BNX.
DeleteSo, it will be much more than 1%
What I am curious about is what happens if ZAG hits back and finally launches LCC routes? Will that already hurt BNX?
DeleteVoja made a nice and simple calculation so, this means that together with JU´s flights to BEG and Aviolet charters to AYT and the new ones to ATH, BNX will reach a figure of almost 200k!
In the worst scenario: ZAG-BEG might slightly be affected too because of the already operating BNX-BEG.
Even if ZAG gets LCCs it won't change much as far as flights from BNX goes as these mostly serve those who used to go to ZAG in the past.
DeleteCroatia's entrance into Schengen, which could happen as early as 2020 when it takes over the presidency of the EU, is going to affect travelers from Northwestern Bosnia as well, but the impact on ZAG should be minimal.
DeleteIt's ok, they will still go to ZAG for flights that are not offered from BNX. However it seems more and more routes are being added from Srpska so there will be less and less need to do so. Also, because of Schengen it might push more of them to fly out of Tuzla in order to avoid the border crossing especially since the Croatian border control tends to be really difficult.
DeleteSo ZAG finished this year with 3.3 while SPU will be at around 3.1. Since there aren't that many new arrivals to ZAG next year, could we see SPU finally overtake ZAG in 2019?
ReplyDeletePossibly in 2020 if ZAG does not see some new routes
DeleteI think SPU reduced difference from 300.000 to around 150.000 this year.
DeleteIt will be close this year, but with the new terminal fully operational in 2020 I think it's going to happen then for sure.
DeleteThe only way SPU can keep on growing at this rate is if airlines increase capacity. Transat should help though I think it will be hell when they depart as the terminal is already overcrowded.
DeleteNope. But Split will definitely, or I suppose I should say it has almost certainly ended last year with somewhere between 3,12 and 3,13 million passengers. Given that ZAG had 3,33 million, the difference will have been decreased by 100,000 pax. - from 300,000 in 2017. to 200,000 last year. I believe that SPU will continue to grow faster than ZAG, however I also doubt that it can sustain the level of growth it's had for the past several, especially the past couple of years. With or without the new infrastructure. Split won't be able to do that based on tourism alone. I do like that some additional economic activity is taking place, but there should be much more of that.
DeleteAt any rate it's impossible for SPU to decrease Zagreb's lead by 200,000 pax this year, or by twice as many passengers than in 2018. And in 2020. Croatia will take over the presidency of the EU, so that will have a significant positive effect on ZAG's numbers. In addition, by then new routes should be announced and new airlines' arrive in Zagreb, so even 2020. is out of the realm of possibility in my opinion. After that, who knows...but this competition is healthy and exciting!
Well done Zagreb and well done Split even more in 2018.!! Keep on keepin' on!
I don't think the presidency will have such a massive impact on the overall numbers, maybe on the BRU-ZAG route alone. You can't have 50.000 people flying between the two cities in six months, at best you are looking at 1.000 to 2.000 for the whole period.
DeleteAs for SPU, I don't know, the airport is slowly becoming the entry point for a much wider zone. Its catchment area is expanding. Maybe they won't add another 200.000 next year but mark my words, 100.000 at least will be added. Growth of 10% is realistic next year in SPU, in ZAG 5% is the most we can expect unless more airlines start announcing flights.
Also we will have to see what happens in BNX next year and if they will lose more passengers if FR keeps on expanding.
Actually, if SPU pulls off 10% in 2019 then won't that bring them up to 3.4 million?
Delete1,000 - 2,000 for the whole period? More than that is just usual EU related travel on a normal year. When a country holds the presidency you normally have at least 20 - 30 major conferences in the capital. Bulgaria had much more I think. Each one of those brings 1000 - 2000 passangers alone. Easy.
DeleteThere's usually a bunch of smaller events too. And it's not just about Brussels, but travel from every EU capital. Brussels relates to MEPs, the Council and the Comission, but there are many other separate multilateral governmental and non governmental EU-wide conventions that also take place, with all the journalists traveling as well every time.
Additionally I don't agree that ZAG will have a 5% growth maximum even if no other routes are introduced, which they almost certainly will be. It's more likely that it would go back to its regular 6% minimum if that were the case.
Jesus, what an utter waste of taxpayers' money.
DeleteFR does not mean to stop with new routes in BNX and ZAG will feel it.
ReplyDeleteNot because people from Zagreb will go to fly from BNX (maybe some, but not a lot) but due to the fact that people from Banja Luka region will no longer be flying from ZAG
Also Slavonija has more options to fly now with airports from OSI, BNX and TZL.
DeleteYes, but BNX is closer to ZAG and it is not expected OSI and TZL to grow so much like BNX in 2019
DeleteAnyone know what happened in September?
ReplyDeleteWhy would anything happen in September?
DeleteI suppose he meant it was still high season and, yet, a modest growth in ZAG.
DeleteYes, growth seems to be smaller between August and October.
DeleteGeez. There's barely any difference between 7.2/6.9 and 4.5.
DeleteWhen your yearly growth is almost 9%, then 3% difference matters especially when it's still high season.
DeleteNo it doesn't.
DeleteI am sure ZAIC management would have loved to have had those extra 3%.
DeleteOr even 4%.
DeleteWell they were aiming first at 10% and then 8%. If they recorded 4% during September then I am sure they weren't too happy, especially since August and October were solid, great even. So it's normal to wonder if there is any special reason why September underperformed.
DeleteI was being sarcastic.
DeleteOk, my bad, it's hard to get the tone from the forum.
DeleteIf SPU surpasses ZAG it will be the first time in European history that a non-capital has more traffic. Germany is the only example.
ReplyDeleteSo what? Croatia is one country and passengers are divided between several airports, coast bringing more passengers than ZAG. Personally, I couldn't care less, if it was either SPU or DBV or ZAG or some other Croatian airport.
DeleteTurkey? UAE? The US? Canada? Brazil? Australia?
DeleteHe said European, which reminds me: is Zurich the capital of Switzerland? No?
DeleteInteresting trend. The more developed countries have their major airports not located in capitals especially the ones in Europe.
DeleteIn 10-15 years time maximum, when Croatia catches us with the Western countries, it will be added to this list.
By then it will be ZAG vs SPU vs DBV - all neck to neck.
Bravo Hrvatska!
It's not only Frankfurt /Berlin or Zurich/Bern. Is Amsterdam capital of the Netherlands? Istanbul of Turkey? No. So some people here just write to write. Just like that.
DeleteAccording to the Dutch Consitution Amsterdam is the capital of that country.
Deletehttps://www.worldatlas.com/articles/what-is-the-capital-of-the-netherlands.html
Hi guys I'm from Greece and I'm living in piraeus close to Athens. I was in Zagreb for the new year's Eve vacation , ( traveled via Munich with Lufthansa and croatia combined ). I just wanna comment that the airport is very beautiful but even it was Christmas season it was so empty and feels a little bit boring . Anyway at least I saw a beautiful city (went for one day also in Ljubljana )and most of all the people were very kind.Goodnight to all.
ReplyDeleteWhy didn't you fly nonstop on Aegean? Or on JU via BEG?
DeleteWhy would he transfer if he can go directly to ZAG?
DeleteBut he transferred in the end
DeleteHe did, not with JU, though.
DeleteBecause my friend Aegean didn't have flights this time of the year and JU was arriving in Zagreb the day We wanted to fly late afternoon.Thank you.,
ReplyDeleteSorry for my English misunderstanding , my bad , Aegean did have flights but they were fully booked . We booked 20 days before our vacation so we found tickets to arrive in Zagreb in morning time only with Lufthansa and croatia combined, and thank God the tickets were actually cheap that time of the year 218.68 euros return , very lucky !!
ReplyDeleteSPU is on track to take over title of busiest airport in Croatia by 2020, and is slowly closing gap with BEG, unlike ZAG.
ReplyDeleteThis will be another duel to watch. Most likely prognosis in 5 years is:
DeleteBEG - 8.5 million
SPU - 7 million
ZAG - 6.5 million
DBV - 6.5 million
PRN - 4 million
And...if reach BEG reaches 12 million like Vinci said, then SPU will always be like around 1 million pax behind, a bit more a bit less.
ZAG's growth rate seems to be slowing down so I don't see them more or less doubling their numbers in five years. Management is stubborn and refuses to make a deal with LCCs. On top of that airports in their region are expanding creating more competition for them, just look at the BNX effect.
DeleteAs for SPU, I think they will reach a maximum of somewhere between 4.5 and 6 million. I don't see them going further than that. If Croatia keeps on destroying its coast, then those projects will come closer to more convenient airports such as Zadar or Dubrovnik in the south.
As for BEG, it attracts a different kind of traveller from SPU and it has year-round demand which will always make it much more ahead in the game. Then again, they still didn't publish their numbers so I fear their numbers aren't that great in December. I fear Vinci might be off to a bad start, a first month of a passenger decline.
On top of the rubbish about Croatia destroying the coast, Vinci publishes its figures for all airports for the previous year in mid January. Last year it was 18th of January. So stop with the conspiracies.
DeleteZAG management will, eventually, have to let LCCs come. There are so many legacy carriers and just a few LCCs at the moment, which is not good.
Delete