All but one of the capital city airports in the former Yugoslavia are expected to see passenger growth during July when compared to last year, based on available scheduled seat capacity levels. Ryanair will retain its position as the region’s largest carrier, ahead of Air Serbia and Wizz Air.
Belgrade Airport has the most available seats on scheduled flights in July, standing at 983.929. The figure represents an increase of 0.6% on 2023. It does not include charter services which see a notable volume during the month. Wizz Air is the main culprit for the low growth rate, reducing its capacity by 25% year-on-year. Air Serbia will continue to maintain its position as the largest carrier, holding 57.3% of all available scheduled capacity at the airport. Zagreb follows as the second largest with 545.744 available seats on scheduled flights during the month. It represents an increase of 17.6% on last year. Croatia Airlines will retain its position as the largest carrier at the airport, with 32.8% of available capacity. It is followed closely by Ryanair with 30.1% of all available seats.
Skopje Airport, which has been impacted by Wizz Air’s frequency cuts, boasts 325.094 seats in July, down 5.1%. Wizz Air, which has reduced capacity by 14.3%, will hold a 57% share of available seats, while Pegasus Airlines comes second with a 9.8% share. Turkish Airlines, which has traditionally been the second largest based on capacity, will be fifth during the month. Sarajevo Airport has 311.684 scheduled seats on the market in July, representing a strong increase of 36.8% on 2023. Pegasus Airlines, which has increased its capacity by 40% year-on-year, is the largest carrier with 10.3% of capacity, followed by Turkish Airlines with 8.8%. Ryanair, which commenced operations to Bosnia and Herzegovina’s capital this summer, will be the sixth largest airline in July.
Pristina Airport will have 310.196 available seats, however, it has numerous flights sold exclusively through tour operators which are considered as charters. Therefore, these are not included in the overall scheduled seat capacity. If only seats on scheduled flights are taken into account, the airport sees an increase of 5.9% in capacity on last year. easyJet has the largest volume of scheduled seats, holding a 18.6% share, ahead of Chair Airlines with 15.3%. Podgorica Airport has 217.256 seats on scheduled flights in July, an increase of 9.9% on 2023. Wizz Air is the largest with 22.6% of total capacity, followed by Ryanair with 17.8%. Air Montenegro comes sixth, behind the two largest, as well as Air Serbia, Austrian Airlines and Turkish Airlines. Finally, Ljubljana Airport has 164.650 seats available this July, which is up 14.9% on last year. The airport also sees a notable number of charters during the month which are not accounted in the statistic. Lufthansa will be its largest carrier with a 17% capacity share, ahead of Turkish Airlines with 11.7% of scheduled capacity.
Largest carriers by scheduled seat capacity in the former Yugoslavia, July 2024
I'm shocked SAS made it onto the top 10 list
ReplyDeleteSame, infront of British, Swiss and LOT?
DeleteNo surprise. They have started the several new routes this month - PRN, TIV, SJJ and they also fly all over the Croatian coast from several cities in Scandinavia (and many of them with A321s).
DeleteBritish Airways has 70.440, Swiss 58.394 and LOT 55.850 seats in July.
DeleteInteresting. Thanks for the numbers.
DeleteSAS is huge in July. They fly everywhere.
DeleteWhich cities do they fly in ex-Yu?
Delete09:52
DeleteGoogle is your friend!
They even fly to Pula, and multiple routes with Airbuses. Also Zadar, Tivat. On top of the big cities like Dubrovnik and Split obviously.
DeleteThe market is trash
DeleteBecause article is just about the capital cities, and seats table is about all airports, which includes Split, Dubrovnik, Tivat
DeleteHow come Turkish Airlines is so low of the top 10 airlines??
ReplyDeletehttps://www.exyuaviation.com/2024/06/turkish-airlines-to-reduce-ex-yu.html
DeleteThey have major fleet issues.
DeleteWhen will the decline in Skopje end?
ReplyDeleteWhen Wizz Air completes engine checks.
DeleteThere was an article here where W6 said they plan to return to growth in SKP and BEG next summer.
DeleteHopefully
DeleteI hope Wizz Air will return with big expansion from SKP and BEG once the problems with the engines are solved
DeleteI am waiting for the usual "all eggs in one basket" comment
DeleteIts not so bad to be real. Only 15.000 seats are offered this July compared to last year. Keeping in mind that this year the flights are more full then last year, we may have the same numbers at the end of the month or slighty less. The charter flights are making up for it, as well as the increases of Pegasus and LOT. But this winter will be very bad, especially in December and January cause last year Wizz had 6 jets at that time, now they will have only 4. The important thing is that they are going to return with growth, they even have open day for cabin crew in Skopje in July.
DeleteI meant only 15.000 seats less are offered this month compared to last year’s July.
Delete@10.15
DeleteTheir CCO already said they will
I doubt that winter will get better.
DeleteThey promise a lot and in the end nothing happens.
JU with 57% capacity share!
ReplyDeleteAnd that is sad because BEG airport can't attract any major foreign airline . 27 airlines in summer and 21 in winter is not a good thing for a main european capital .
DeleteIt has over 120 destinations. It is doing just fine.
DeleteThe world's seventh largest airlines announced last week it is launching flights to BEG.
DeleteTurkish Airlines is doing to same in IST, i dont see the problem here. Better to have a good national carrier which offers you more destinations than 50 different carriers.
DeleteAnon 10:38 "BEG airport can't attract any major foreign airline"
DeleteBelgrade airport attracted China Southern Airlines, one of the world’s largest carriers. How does that compare with T'Way?
So Tesla is going to have 1mio pax in July, August and maybe September?
DeleteHow can it have 1 million passengers in July if it has less than a million seats in July? Even if the charters have 17,000 seats, which I doubt, the airport won't have 100% load factor on all flights.
Delete1 million might be possible in August.
DeleteThat's delusional.
DeleteO'Leary keeps winning!
ReplyDeleteBravo 🇨🇮🇨🇮🇨🇮
It will be interesting to see how much growth BEG will have on 0.6% capacity growth.
ReplyDeleteDon't forget that is without charters.
DeleteAre there more charters this year than last year?
DeleteProbably roughly the same number. They changed a few of charter routes into seasonal.
DeleteBut they are full, first flight to Skiathos was full. The second and third seemed to be full as well.
Growth of less than 1% in BEG compared with last year is not at all what I was expecting.
ReplyDeleteThe Marathon accident rally damaged BEG and ASL growth plans.
How weren't you expecting it when it was announced?
Deletehttps://www.exyuaviation.com/2024/03/belgrade-airport-faces-traffic-slowdown.html
Also, the decline is mostly related to Wizz Air. If you read the article, it says they are decreasing capacity in July by 25%.
@09:14
DeleteIt's not just W6, a lot of airlines have scaled back growth plans because of issues with getting aircraft or servicing the ones they have in a timely manner.
Anonymous 09:14
DeleteThat wasn't at all the forecast for 2024 traffic at the end of last year and the beginning of this.
^ Because at the end of last year no one knew Wizz Air would currently have 50 aircraaft grounded.
DeleteQ4 will be very strong for BEG.
DeleteAir Serbia keeps growing LF and that fuels passenger growth as seen in previous months. Additional aircraft are joining the fleet, operations are better than the last year and if charter flights deliver as expected, BEG will have another record year.
DeleteAt least BEG has Air Serbia which makes completely up for the disinterest of foreign airlines.
DeleteWasn't everyone saying that Q3 was going to be their strongest and now people are saying it is Q4. Well Q4 has never been the strongest and unless ASL does something dramatic in Q3 with capacity, I am not sure how they can grow much more than 2023. After a while, load factor on key routes becomes the constraint. That is, your are flying with 100% to key destinations and you are struggling to increase load factor to the "alternate" less popular destinations that people don't really want to fly to. They really need to just up frequency to the popular routes and cut back frequency to underperforming routes.
DeleteJU passenger growth this year will be 15%. They are launching Guangzhou in September, Shanghai in December, new regional routes in November.
DeleteYes twice weekly to CAN will make the world of difference!
DeleteAre you living under a rock? Of course Q4 will be strong, so far we have increases by LOT, Austrian Airlines, Lufthansa, Aegean, JU to CAN and much, much more.
DeleteThat's just increases in capacity. That does not mean it will translate into a good load factor. No one travels in October, November and the first part of December.
DeleteAdmin, you have an error at the beginning of the article. You wrote in May instead of July.
ReplyDeleteAnother one: charter, not character in "It does not include character services"
DeleteEasyjet about to take over Wizz Air
ReplyDeleteNot really. 37,000 seat difference.
DeleteIn July, easyJet flies so many flights to Ex-Yu. Pula, Rijeka, Zadar, Split, Dubrovnik, Tivat, Belgrade, Pristina, Skopje, Ljubljana.
DeleteJust four months later in November it will be only Ljubljana, Dubrovnik, Pristina and Belgrade!
I would not write Wizz Air off. Next year will be interesting.
DeleteBabett Stapel should wake up.
ReplyDeleteI wonder how much less capacity there is when compared to 2019.
DeleteLJU had almost 200k passengers in July 2019.
DeleteLjubljana's capacity in July 2019 was 257.988. As mentioned, this does not include charter flights.
DeleteSo that's a 36% difference! Terrible.
DeleteLJU is growing and offering more connections than ever before.
DeleteYet we're down on London, Amsterdam, Paris and Munich flights while still lacking Berlin, Tirana, Pristina, Rome and most Spanish destinations
Delete@10:47 that is something only a delusional Fraport fanboy would say.
DeleteYou would expect Croatia Airlines to be higher in July when they are supposed to be the busiest. Says all about their management.
ReplyDeleteThe jump of Sarajevo is insane!!! Well done SJJ!
ReplyDeleteThey have really turned things around this year.
DeleteBut with subsidies and incentives.
DeleteWhy is that a "but"?
DeleteBecause he must say something negative. Same comments when SKP gets more flights, “We are paying so that we have more routes”, but when ZAG does that with FR then everyone are supporting it. Nice growth SJJ!
DeleteSKP and PRN spent much more than SJJ on subsidies this year and both have an overreliance on one airline, while SJJ is balanced. Nothing concerning about the growth and 7 subsidized routes.
Delete@14:10 PRN did not subsidize any flights. Not this year, not last year.
DeleteMaybe they need to start doing it so that they can keep some non gasto destinations from PRN. Compare BT in LJU with PRN, worlds apart.
Delete@14:10 SKP is spending money on subsidies once every three years for a record.
DeleteFR and OU almost tied in ZAG
ReplyDeleteNext year FR will be ahead.
DeleteRyanair has more passengers. Croatia Airlines flies at a load factor that is 20 percentage points lower.
DeleteTrue
DeleteI think Ryan Air will be largest carrier in Zagreb from 2025 onwards, sadly cause really bad management at Croatian airlines...
Delete"Zagreb follows as the second largest with 545.744 available seats on scheduled flights during the month. It represents an increase of 17.6% on last year. Croatia Airlines will retain its position as the largest carrier at the airport, with 32.8% of available capacity. It is followed closely by Ryanair with 30.1% of all available seats."
However, Zagreb is on the roll, based on this blog's data, Zagreb airport will do really well in July, no idea how many unscheduled flights and seats are in July, but based on data available, there's a good chance airport will handle up to 450 000 passengers. A growth of 80 000 passengers in a single month on the last Year's July.
I expect in June Zagreb airport will handle around 415-420 000 passengers, meaning for the first time in history of the airport, there'll be more than 400 000 passengers in a single month. In 2025, I am confident in saying 500 000 passengers in a single month will be handled at least in July and August, based on current Ryan Air announcement. But we're still in 2024, so this year in July I expect between 435 000 and 450 000 passengers handled by Croatia's main airport. June 2024, 415 to 425 000 passengers. August is very hard to predict without knowing seats available fort that month, but it is very likely if there are 550 000 available for the whole month, August might exceed 460 000 passengers.
These figures however, pale in comparison to few other Croatian airports, namely Split and Dubrovnik which will handle a lot more than 460 000 passengers in July and August. Split I expect will surpass 800 000 mark perhaps even in July, and Dubrovnik might hit 700 000 passengers handled in a single month in August. All in all good summer ahead.
.
Crystal ball gang.
DeleteMeanwhile OU cancelled CDG yesterday morning because their plane broke down and there was no alternative.
Deletewow Sarajevo growth is massive!
ReplyDeleteI'm guessing Ryanair playing a big part in that.
DeletePegasus was the main factor, I believe
DeleteHappy for SJJ.
DeleteIt seems to be that Air Serbia's share in BEG has been increasing steadly.
ReplyDeleteYes, it has been increasing for a few months.
DeleteNot really, last month it was 49%
DeleteStrong July for most
ReplyDeleteZagreb doing very well. Nice work!
ReplyDeleteIndeed
DeleteI think this is the last year of growth at Zagreb. The Turkish airport management will not want to invest into expanding the terminal so they will not want numbers to grow past 5 million which is the threshold in the contract. So they will withdraw incentives for Ryanair, Ryanair will cut the base, prices will go up again and we passengers will have to fly to Ljubljana/Budapest/Zadar once again.
DeleteYou are wishing Zagreb stops to grow. Haha... Keep wishing.
DeleteAnon @11.49 is a troll.
DeleteWhy is it that this site attracts so many trolls and haters?
DeleteNot so bad for SKP eather. Charters are going to make it up for those 15.000 less seats offered in July.
ReplyDeleteWow, Zagreb rocks!
ReplyDeleteSKP will make up the numbers with improved loads
ReplyDeleteDoesn't seem Ryanair will reach a million seats in a single month. Maybe next year.
ReplyDeleteSpeaking of millions I think Belgrade may reach a million seats in August.
DeleteThey surely will. They already did it last August
Deletehttps://www.exyuaviation.com/2023/07/belgrade-to-surpass-one-million-seat.html
Skopje is getting really screwed over by Wizz this summer.
ReplyDeleteSKP still have good numbers even with Wizz reduce ,I was expecting more bad scenario then this ...
ReplyDeleteSpeaking of BEG and ZAG, surprised that Qatar is still flying A320s there. Those flights are fuullll always. (ZAG at least has 2 daily but still a widebody is a far better experience)
ReplyDeleteThey have a big shortage oof aircraft.
DeleteYields are low, that's the main problem
DeleteAnd flights to Bangladesh and Africa are not?
DeleteIt is a volume game to those places. Bangladesh has population of 171 million, Serbia has 6 million.
Delete