The airports in Sarajevo, Dubrovnik and Zagreb will be the fastest growing in the former Yugoslavia during the fourth and final quarter of the year (October, November and December). The trio will add the most scheduled capacity on the same period last year. Sarajevo Airport will lead the way, with an additional 181.135 seats. The strong growth comes as most carriers operating to Bosnia and Herzegovina’s capital will maintain more flights. Notably, Ryanair brings 53.878 additional seats to Sarajevo, while Pegasus Airlines will add an extra 31.276 seats when compared to last year.
Dubrovnik and Zagreb will continue to benefit from Ryanair’s operations into the fourth quarter. Dubrovnik will see its first winter flights maintained by the budget carrier, bringing with it an additional 93.964 seats when compared to last year. In Zagreb, Ryanair is increasing its capacity by 25% on Q4 2023 by adding 77.504 seats onto the market after increasing frequencies on a number of routes over the winter and maintaining flights to several new destinations launched over the summer. Overturning its sluggish performance throughout the year, Banja Luka Airport is set to return to growth. Ryanair is again the main culprit, operating 42 additional flights out of Banja Luka during the fourth quarter by increasing frequencies on several routes, resulting in an additional 15.916 seats by the airline compared to 2023.
Scheduled capacity difference at airports in the former Yugoslavia, Q4 2024 vs Q4 2023
Belgrade will see the biggest decline in available seat capacity with over 140.000 fewer seats. This is being primarily fuelled by Wizz Air and the ongoing engine issues affecting its Airbus A320neo-family fleet. The carrier will have 111 fewer departing flights than in Q4 2023 and wipe out 139.442 seats from the market or around 25% of its capacity on the same period last year. Ljubljana is also expected to see its capacity dip in the fourth quarter, although the larger decline in available seats in November and December will be offset by growth in October. The airport could make up for the dip through charter flights, which are not included in the scheduled capacity figures.
The table above is of an informative nature and is correct as of September 24. Airlines frequently revise capacity levels by deploying larger or smaller aircraft, changing frequencies or adding and suspending routes, which will result in some changes to the figures above as the fourth quarter progresses.
Nice to see Sarajevo at the top of the lists after such a long time.
ReplyDeleteWhat is the difference in capacity in LJU for November and December compared to 2023?
ReplyDeleteBravo Hrvatska!
ReplyDeleteBravo Fraport! Nowhere near recovery but now going backwards.
ReplyDeleteHow dare you with those conspiracies!
DeleteAnon 09:08
DeleteIt is a well known ExYu blog fact that Fraport is actively sabotaging LJU because they hate us!
All the other airports they own they do like them but Slovenia and LJU they just bought oit to sabotage it!
Who is "us"? You live in Berlin!
DeleteAhahahaha
DeletePerhaps the management team in LJU isn't good.
Delete@9:34 how dare you with those conspiracies! Fraport Slovenija has the best management in EX-YU. Genius idea of "charter hub" will put LJU in number 1 spot of added capacity! Other airports should look and learn from LJU.
DeleteMore green than red so that is good.
ReplyDeleteOuch for BEG though!
DeleteWe all know it is only temporary in BEG.
DeleteBasically top 3 airports all seeing big growth due to Ryanair.
ReplyDeleteAnd bottom 3 all seeing contraction due to Wizz Air.
DeletePegasus plays a role too
DeleteOnly in Sarajevo
DeleteGood BNX FINALLY going back to growth.
ReplyDelete+100
DeleteNot sure where the numbers are coming from though? Air Serbia (as usual) announced 3 fights per week and again put it back to 2 -_-
DeleteSorry , but didn't everybody say here in this blog that BEG will grow numbers because of Air Serbia's growth espesially in Q4 of the year ??
ReplyDeleteNo one knew how big of a difference Wizz Air cuts would be. Removing 25% of your flights is huge for any airport.
DeleteW6 removed 25% of all BEG seats?
DeleteYes, read the article
Delete"The carrier will have 111 fewer departing flights than in Q4 2023 and wipe out 139.442 seats from the market or around 25% of its capacity on the same period last year."
There will be some adjustment for JU in the next week or so. Shanghai will be scheduled and 2-3 routes extended over winter and maybe one or two routes added.
DeleteIt is strange that W6 despite having big issues with NEO engines not only it did not cut capacity on other bases but increased it.
DeleteWhy such a big reduction in BEG?
W6 needs to be punished. Rising taxes for 25% should be the first measure
Delete@9.29 because what you wrote is simply not true. They have cut at a lot of bases.
Delete@09:32
DeleteYou need to take a chill pill.
And then realize that if W6 is singled out by the Government to be punitive taxed the airline will get awarder more money by European courts for being the victim of unfair market practices.
@09:34
DeleteThey have cut a lot of bases but few had a 25% reduction in capacity.
And many has actually an increase!
25% cut is huge, especially when you consider that W6 had only a reduction of its fleet due to Pratt in the single digits!
@anon 09:10. todays post doesn't change that BEG will grow and have more passengers than 2023. from January to august BEG has an 8% growth in passenger numbers.
DeleteIn Q4 Wizz Air bases are affected across the board. Sofia -13.4%, Larnaca -12.0%, Skopje -21%, Vilnius -27.5%, Varna -24.7%, Kutaisi -11.7%, Catania -11.6%, Naples -21.9%, Venice -31.6%, Katowice -12.8%, Wroclaw -41.1%, Craiova -31.5%, Iasi -12.3%, Sibiu -1.8%,
DeleteThank you very much admin!
DeleteAnd we keep reading from so call analiticar that only BEG has cuts. Pathetic!
And they are also closing Debrecen base on 27 October.
DeleteAdmin what about their TIA base?
DeleteWhat about it?
DeleteMy guess is that BEG is highly competitive (thanks to JU mostly), so profit margins for W6 are smaller. Thus they prioritise BEG lower and make bigger cuts.
Delete@9:35
DeleteAnd you need a reality pill. Company can not have the same discount for 500.000 passengers and for 250.000 passengers per year. There have to be classess of prices at the airport. When you have a passenger growth, it’s normal to have better price, but you have passenger decline, it’s also normal to have higher price per passenger. If you just sit and watch, they will do whatever they want. If you act protective, they will find the way to keep their business stabile
Admin, do you know what is in common to all of this airports? Ryanair...or if not Ryanair, then another LCC, what Belgrade does NOT have. Sofia has a number of Ryanair flights, Vilnius, Catania, Nalpes, Venice, Katowice, Wroclaw...should I continue?
DeleteTypical. He is shown the proof Wizz is the reason for temporary capacity dip, but keeps pushing his agenda regardless. Finding facts are not his goal. Since Air Serbia has demonstrated ability to compete with Wizz on majority of routes, he keeps pushing for Ryanair in Belgrade in hopes that would hurt Air Serbia. That's his only goal.
DeleteEveryone wants to visit beautiful Dalmatia!
ReplyDelete+1
DeleteRijeka still can't wake up. Entire year has been in minus.
ReplyDeleteFantastic news for Sarajevo and well deserved.
ReplyDeleteYes, finally the airport and city living up to its potential.
DeleteTAV u Makedoniji rastura. Svaka čast.
ReplyDeleteWizz Air
DeleteHow about PRN? We all know that huge capacity comes from charters and that is not listed as its never known ahead. I expect PRN growth numbers to be closer to Dubrovnik.
ReplyDeleteOr maybe the charter flights are down and scheduled flights up
DeleteYes, scheduled flights are up 97k seat, says the article. I quickly looked at July announced capacity vs nr. of passengers achieved (not the same as we don't know Load rate) and it was 35% more passenger than announced capacity. I am aware that july is most busy month and Reiseburos may have contracted more charters, but december is also a busy month. All in all not much is changed in PRN, highest taxes in the region. A lot of passengers travelling to SKP and TIA. I had over 10 flights in last two years: 6 from SKP, 2 from TIA and 2 from PRN. I know this is anectodal evidence, but I know a lot of people travelling through SKP and TIA. For a family of four, total cost difference is anywhere between 400 and 800 euros. So travelling to SKP and TIA for that amount it makes a lot of sense at least for me and my family.
Delete@09:54
Delete+97k reflects growth only in scheduled flights. Around 40% capacity in PRN remains unaccounted for as it's charters.
So real capacity growth could be up anywhere between 97k to 150k. Nothing extraordinary as it means only 15% capacity growth..
Real news is Sarajevo. And Dubrovnik, (given its rather a seasonal Airport and this is Q4 we talking about).
Lets see how OU responds to the increased competition from FR
ReplyDeleteThey haven't responded in 3 years. What makes you think they will respond now?
DeleteOU has highly respected management so for sure they will add a lot of new routes.
DeleteSure, that must be the reason why they still haven't reached pre-Covid passenger numbers or network size after 5 years.
DeleteThey added 3 routes this year. Bravo OU!
DeleteAll are gone in winter.
DeleteSarajevo finally starting to show its potential, well done! :)
ReplyDelete+1
DeleteIt's not good to see that BEG capacity shrink is not entirely driven by W6.
ReplyDeleteYes, major part of it (-142) is driven by W6 (-139), but that means that other airlines' capacity is also going in the same direction (-3), albeit at a much less dramatic rate.
I expected JU and others could partially compensate W6 decrease, but unfortunately not.
Not?
DeleteIn August there was 50.000 less seats offered by W6, but BEG still had growth. Minimal, but growth.
How on Earth then JU and others did not compensate it?
Mate, this article is about future - Q4 capacity is 142k down, whereas W6 decrease is -139, meaning others are also decreasing their capacity by 3k.
DeleteTherefore, Q4 BEG capacity trend is decrease overall, not only W6.
3k is nothing for BEG, less than statistical error so there is no need even to talk about it, mate.
DeleteWe still do not know what kind of new frequencies or possible destinations JU will introduce.
"The table above is of an informative nature and is correct as of September 24. Airlines frequently revise capacity levels by deploying larger or smaller aircraft, changing frequencies or adding and suspending routes, which will result in some changes to the figures above as the fourth quarter progresses.".
It is true that 3k decrease is nothing, but the fact that other airlines didn't increase seats to replace W6 is notable.
Delete^^^
DeleteWhy we should not talk about airlines in BEG decreasing capacity YoY when almost all other airports in Europe have great increases compared with the same period in 2023?
Are we only allowed to talk about positive things?
Maybe it's not huge, but it's something we're seeing for the first time, so the change of trend.
DeleteIn the past couple of months, W6 was cutting frequencies, but other airlines' actions were going in the opposite direction - what we see now is that others as well are decreasing.
So, even if you removed W6 completely from the table in the article, BEG would be in red - you want to say this is expected and normal?
If yes, what made you think BEG will have lower capacity in Q4 24 than in Q4 23?
If Wizz Air was to be removed completely, the difference in capacity would be -0.1%, while flights would be up 1%.
DeleteI am saying that we still do not know what will be the final result and it has been stated here.
Delete3k is nothing so it can be easily changed at the end that we have only W6 cuts and nothing more.
It is highly possible that final BEG results will be better than expected as it was the case in August.
So all I am sayin' is...be patient.
Thank you admin!
DeleteIt clearly shows that there are no cuts from other companies except W6. We might even see some growth from them.
Where can I buy Pink glasses where -0.1% is a small growth?
DeleteNo, sorry guys, but BEG is stagnating in Q4 and this is not related to W6, unlike prior periods.
Foreign carriers currently have 5.2% capacity growth year-on-year in Q4 if Wizz Air is excluded.
DeleteSo JU has a capacity reduction in Q4.
DeleteWhy is that?
Admin. It would be good to see what the capacity was in Q4 2023 and what it is like in Q4 2024 for all airports
ReplyDeleteCongratulations SJJ, DBV, ZAG
ReplyDeleteI'm very happy to see Tivat back to growth.
ReplyDeleteMacedonia from record growth in q1 to decline for rest of the year...
ReplyDeleteBravo!
ReplyDeleteThis happens when BEG relies only on 2 airlines for major of its connectivity. Hopefully they will try to attract some other airlines if nothing only during summer period. I would love to see easyJet from LC in Belgrade, or TAP that has amazing connectivity to South America.
ReplyDelete+1
DeleteBEG having year round service from only 21-22 airlines is something that needs to be fixed.
I understand that less competition is good for JU but not for BEG or the country for that matter.
I really do not understand that JU flies to 5 cities in Spain and Iberia does not fly any single route to BEG.
DeleteAlso, JU flies to 4 destinations in Scandinavia and SAS flies to single route to BEG.
JU flies to 8 destinations in Italy and ITA holds no single route to BEG.
Really strange.
If we had IB flights to MAD and AZ flights to FCO we could have way better connectivity with north and south America. With SK to CPH we could get good prices for flights to US.
DeleteNot to mention better competition for flights to western Europe.
What a bunch a nonsense repeated on a regular basis. Agenda: manufacturing the idea of Belgrade being in a desperate need of competiton on existing routes operated by Air Serbia. Debunked every time.
DeleteFor those who are listing other airports with Wizz Air cuts, do you know what is in common to all of this airports? Ryanair...or if not Ryanair, then another LCC, what Belgrade does NOT have. Sofia has a number of Ryanair flights, Vilnius, Catania, Nalpes, Venice, Katowice, Wroclaw...should I continue?
ReplyDeleteActually only Skopje and Craiova don't have any LCC alternative that could compense Wizz. Same like Tuzla didn't have. That pattern happened in Belgrade case.
You are seriously comparing Tuzla and Belgrade? Seek help.
DeleteWizz Air did not close its base in Belgrade. It temporarily reduced operations due to engine issues. Wizz Air’s CCO has said they will return to growth at Belgrade base in summer 2025.
Deletehttps://www.exyuaviation.com/2024/04/wizz-air-to-return-to-growth-in-2025.html
Belgrade Airport has a record number of passengers this year. So your point of Belgrade being the same as Tuzla really is funny.
The airports you listed are all located in countries significantly larger than Serbia. You are comparing Poland or Italy with Serbia, one of which is the mot visited countries on earth.
All the airports mentioned are in the European Union, which does have an impact on daily travel. My suggestion is not to worry too much at what is happening at BEG. Despite your worries 2024 will still be its busiest year and in 2024 BEG is connected to more cities with nonstop flights than ever before, Considering you are so worried about BEG, that should truly make you happy.