The airports in Sarajevo, Zagreb and Dubrovnik will be the fastest growing in the former Yugoslavia during the first quarter of the new year in 2025 (January, February and March). The trio will add the most scheduled capacity compared to the same period the previous year. Sarajevo Airport will lead the way, as was the case through much of 2024, with an additional 142.719 seats. The strong growth comes primarily as a result of Ryanair, which was not present on the market in Q1 2024. Furthermore, most carriers serving Bosnia and Herzegovina’s capital will increase frequencies and seats. Ryanair brings 52.606 additional seats to Sarajevo over the three-month period, while Pegasus Airlines will add an extra 26.221 seats when compared to the previous year.
Zagreb will continue to benefit from Ryanair’s operations into the first quarter of 2025. The budget carrier is increasing its capacity by 21% on Q1 2024, adding 57.318 seats onto the market after increasing frequencies on a number of routes over the winter and maintaining flights to several new destinations launched last summer. In Pristina, most carriers operating scheduled services will maintain more flights than in the first quarter of 2024. Notably, Pegasus Airlines is adding an extra 37.049 seats, while easyJet, which recently introduced operations from Amsterdam and Milan, will grow its capacity by 30.576 seats
Scheduled capacity difference at airports in the former Yugoslavia, Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024
On the other hand, Skopje, Ljubljana, Tivat and Niš will see the biggest decline in available scheduled capacity. Pratt & Whittney engine issues affecting Wizz Air’s fleet, which have resulted in network and capacity cuts, continue to hinder both Skopje and Niš over the first quarter, while Ljubljana Airport will see eight airlines reduce their capacity with British Airways no longer serving the city over the winter period. Turkish Airlines’ decision to suspend operations to Tivat over the winter will have the biggest impact on the airport’s Q1 performance, wiping out 19.336 seats off the market. Throughout the previous winter season, the carrier maintained five weekly flights between Istanbul and Tivat.
The table above is of an informative nature and is correct as of December 9. Airlines constantly revise capacity levels by deploying larger or smaller aircraft, changing frequencies or adding and suspending routes, which will result in some changes to the figures above as the first quarter of 2025 approaches and later progresses.
Ljubljana my beloved :(
ReplyDeleteLJU just can't catch a break.
DeleteNowhere near recovery but now going backwards.
DeleteZagreb and Trieste are killing LJU
DeleteI agree with 09:34, I live in Ljubljana and far more often go to Trieste or even further to Vienna or Venice. Of ~40 flights I took this year only 2 left or arrived to LJU, its simply far more expensive.
DeleteAnon 10.11 when you realize you are part of the problem, that's when things will improve in LJU.
Delete@Anonymous 10:12
DeletePlease do elaborate on this. I am anxious to see your insights!
Basic economics. VIE is cheaper than LJU because LJU management is ass
Delete@Anonymous 10:20
DeleteIf you are the same Anonymous as 10:12 - then I apologise, I thought that you were implying that Anonymous 10:11 is the part of the problem for not using LJU :) I do agree that the problem is LJU management (and not people that are using options that are more acceptable for them).
@10:28 Exactly, economy of scale. Flying out of LJU was not cheap during the well beloved national carrier time and it will not be cheap now.
Delete@10:20 I am not 10:12 but Slovenians do not value their own time as much and are willing to drive five hours to Vienna to get a 150€ cheaper flight. On top of that, most Slovenians do not have a problem to go to a foreign land, communicate in a foreign langauge for a cheaper flight while for example Austrians and Italians are much less likely to do so.
It really depends. I'm a Miles & More Silver member, and out of 33 flight segments, only 4 were from Trieste, with all the others departing from LJU. Since I live in LJU, the price-to-time ratio is usually more favorable for LJU.
DeleteI am sorry but saving 150 euros is absolutely worth it if you have to drive to Vienna. You can even take a train from Ljubljana to Vienna. If you are a family of 4, you save 600 euros. And in most cases you can fly direct from Vienna/Venice/Zagreb and even Trieste whereas you cannot from Ljubljana.
DeleteWhy can't we just acknowledge that we all have different travel habits? Some people are willing to travel hours to the airport to save money because it matters to them, while others prefer convenience over cost and avoid driving long distances to fly. However, it would be great to see representative data on travel habits rather than relying solely on individual opinions to draw conclusions.
DeleteBut if all this people used LJU than flights from LJU would also be cheaper, ofcourse LH is not going to put a320 on the route if they can not fill up crj900 (even though that is not the case with lufti, but again why do they have a320 from fra/muc to zag where there is also croatia with a320), but with others, it is one of the biggest reasons
DeleteAgain, people have different preferences and habits. You seriously cannot expect someone from the coast to drive to Ljubljana "because this would bring prices in LJU down" when they have Trieste or Venice closer (and the flights are cheaper).
DeleteIf Fraport put some effort into advertising it would already make a difference - you can actually reach all or most of eu for 250 return from lju excluding high demand dates but a significant portion of Slovenes dont even check Lju options... But lju desperately needs a few west bound destinations as these are completely non existant south of Paris... And if nothing else at least a regular 2 weekly connection to Canaries in winter since we dont have any winter escape routes apart from Dubai...
DeleteVisit Slovenia on a regular basis, always fly via Zagreb, cheaper and faster. I once flew to Ljubljana, had to fly via Munich, was stuck there for 5 hours, many different shop brands, all sell same stuff at the same price. Weirdest airport ever. Never get stuck in Munich airport, very Kafkaesque....
DeleteI have done the opposite. I have flown to Ljubljana to get to Croatia. I did it with Wizz, easyJet and British Airways. It was cheaper than flying to Zagreb or Rijeka and the times worked out better for me.
DeleteCould we expect FR to become number 1 in ZAG in Q1? Would love to see a comparisom of passengers served between OU and FR in ZAG in 2024.
ReplyDeleteI'm pretty sure they are already number 1 by passengers in ZAG
DeleteIt really wouldn't surprise me to be honest
DeleteThe thing with Ryanair is that their LF on almost all flights is above 90% while OU's load factor is at 60%.
DeleteBravo Hrvatska!
ReplyDelete+1
DeleteAnother great year for Franjo Tudman Airport is coming after a fantastic 2024!
ReplyDeleteAttracting Ryanair proved a great decision!
Delete^ we will see. With Ryanair you have to look long term to make that concluson.
DeleteRyanair is around for 40 years now in Europe.
DeleteStop arguing with reality and people's preferences.
I didn't mean Ryanair will go bankrupt. I'm jus saying they have a habit of picking up and leaving if they don't get their way. But since ZAG is happy to invest money to open a dedicated terminal for them, they are probably safe.
DeleteCroats can't get enough of Ryanair!
DeleteAnd some here were claiming it is a 'prestige' airport.
DeletePrestigious airports stagnate, Ryanair ones grow.
DeleteWhich category is your airport?
Just noting what some have been saying here for years. Might have been you, who knows. Would explain your immense irritation.
DeleteNext Q2 will be challenging for Zagreb.
DeleteDUS, ICN and TGD are history.
Eurowings flying A319s three times a week to Dusseldorf is supposed to be a problem? Ryanair's flights to Podgorica are gone but the capacity is deployed elsewhere, so no loss there. ICN is the only true loss, but even then there is the increase from Turkish. It's just optimisation.
DeleteZagreb's capacity growth in Q2 and Q3 2025 is currently up by healthy margins. In both quarters year-on-year capacity growth is above Q1 levels.
Delete10:24 When ZAG had significantly smaller growth compared to other airport in exyu region, term "prestigious" was used by some to justify it. Claim was that large passenger growth is not as important as airport having "prestige" airlines serving ZAG such as British Airways, Air France, Korean, Emirates etc.
DeleteNow that one ULCC is a primary force behind ZAG growth, self-proclaimed analysts flipped the switch and is now labelling passenger growth as prestige. Double standard.
@EX-YU Aviation12:00 Do you have seats availability for Zagreb airport for entire 2025? Will it be around 5.85 million seats ?
DeleteData currently available until November 30, 2025 although very premature. Based on that data there are currently 5.69 million seats loaded for Zagreb.
DeleteYes having capacity is one thing, filling those same seats is another matter. In November ZAG had 21% of its seats left unsold.
Delete@"EX-YU Aviation21:05
DeleteData currently available until November 30, 2025 although very premature. Based on that data there are currently 5.69 million seats loaded for Zagreb."
Thanx, it looks Zagreb will have around 6.0 million seats in 2025, @80% we are looking at roughly, 4.8 million passengers in 2025. I'll be responsible for 3 returns flights out of Zagreb in 2025.
Well done Sarajevo. Hope the change in management does not have an impact on the airport's success going forward.
ReplyDeleteMe too. Time will tell.
DeleteFR and many other airlines coming to Sarajevo has little to do with management and everything to do with the tourist board.
DeleteGood to finally see some positive numbers for Rijeka
ReplyDeleteBNX having bigger scheduled capacity increase than BEG is wild! 😳
ReplyDeleteBEG made the strategic choice to be dependent on JU and W6.
DeleteAnd it also has to live with its decision.
+1000
DeleteJU/W6 dependency pushed BEG to 8 million and still growing.
DeleteMore green than red so that is good.
ReplyDeleteI find that number of airports in read quite concerning
DeleteBlack and red, no green there.
DeleteBasically 3 out of top 4 airports seeing big growth due to Ryanair.
ReplyDeleteIt makes sense, it's the biggest airline in Europe. And the entire Ex-Yu is extremely price sensitive.
Deletelol its because of the engine issues
DeleteThat TK exit really impacted Tivat a lot....
ReplyDeleteI has little other traffic in winter
DeleteBut in summer it is packed. Tivat Airport needs to upgrade its infrastructure urgently. The summer crowds are too much for the current facilities, and with better planning, it could handle much more.
DeleteGood to see BNX finally going back to growth.
ReplyDeleteBanja Luka Airport has been a pleasant surprise recently
DeleteFantastic news for Sarajevo and well deserved.
ReplyDeleteYes, finally the airport and city living up to its potential.
DeleteLju is now going backwards instead of recovery. And people will still say we don’t need national carrier.
ReplyDeleteAnd that Fraport is doing an amazing job...
DeleteWhat can Fraport do? Pay airlines to fly empty?
DeleteAdwertise current options, attract a couple of popular leisure routes, put youreslf on the map to averege slovene traveler
DeleteCongratulations SJJ, ZAG, PRN
ReplyDeleteMacedonia from record growth in q1 24 to big decline in q1 25...
ReplyDeleteIt all depends on Wizz, late 2025 and early 2025, are gonna be huge.
DeleteI meant early 2026.
Delete14k for 3 monts is not that big
Deleteand its only -2%
Delete14k in the winter period is not that bad , I expected to be even worse ... basiclly from April SKP will start with the grow path slowly and from May better.
Delete14K is not bad at all, its around 5k scheduled seats per month. I expected 100k less capacity. This is great actually. We will reach nearly the same numbers we reached this Q1.
DeleteAslo to add, this year until now SKP has 119.600 passengers handled more then last year even though there were declines in April, May, June, July and August. September and October again we had increase in passenger numbers. This year will be finished with 2.95 million or hopfully 3 million which is not impossible yet.
DeleteAnyone knows what's happening with Niš?
ReplyDeleteWizz Air
DeleteGreat news for Sarajevo! This shows how much our tourism and business sectors are growing. Would love to see more direct flights to main European hubs.
ReplyDeleteI hope they invest in infrastructure and customer service to handle this growth and keep passengers coming back.
DeleteHopefully, Skopje can catch up next summer when Wizz launches new routes and Flydubai returns.
ReplyDeleteSKP needs to step up its game. There’s so much untapped potential for connecting Macedonia to more European and Middle Eastern destinations.
Delete09:59 hopefully the period that coming they will bring more airlines and launch new routes , thats what they said , they work on it ... but needs too much work and efforts to giwe!!
DeleteMorava Airport is completely underutilized. Why not try to attract more turboprop operators and make it a viable option for central Serbia.
ReplyDeleteWould be nice to get Vienna flights back.
DeleteIt was cancelled because demand was low.
DeleteVery nice.
ReplyDeleteWell done Sarajevo!!! :)
ReplyDeleteGo, Zagreb! OU, what are you waiting for?
ReplyDeleteHopefully OU will announce new routes soon.
DeleteThey shouldn't wait so long, but it's OU, so...
DeleteOU will announce the new routes in February probably. And it will be twice weekly for 12 weeks. And they will probably reduce Munich and Osijek to cover for it.
DeleteI hope they will cover Scandinavia, at least Stockholm and/or Oslo.
DeleteOU already flies to ARN from SPU and ZAG.
DeleteCroatia Airlines also flies to Oslo from Split.
DeleteClueless comments about OU. Some things here never change...
DeleteOU increased capacity on BRU route from 11pw Q400 to 11pw A220-300.
DeleteBravo Fraport!
ReplyDeletethis is just the beginning for Sarajevo!
ReplyDeleteAgreed
Delete-14.583k pax SKP will be down in 2025 , how much was the same months this year , does someone know ?
ReplyDeleteIt represents a decrease of 1.9% on the 757.851 seats in Q1 2024.
DeleteThats not that bad , thank you.
DeleteA friend told me Belgrade will have less passengers in the next couple of months. When I asked why, he pointed me to unreliable and biased source. Exyuaviation shows BEG will grow, that's why I prefer it for accurate info.
ReplyDeleteThis site says there will be a decrease at BEG every month until February
Deletehttps://www.exyuaviation.com/2024/10/belgrade-airport-faces-challenging.html
Today's article says BEG will have +31.827 more seats in Q1 2025 vs 2024.
DeleteThe growth will come in February and March, which are part of the first quarter. Until then, the airport is expected to see a decline in passenger numbers.
DeleteExactly, EX-YU Aviation. Article from October talked about decline in Nov, Dec and just -4.7% in January. It mentioned growth of 12.8% in February and March 2025, so overall Q1 2025 will have more capacity. We have to clarify for those who can't tell the difference between Nov, Dec and Q1.
DeleteSo who is growing in February and March? Is it JU?
DeleteAirport Nikola Tesla is growing
Delete@Admin,
ReplyDeletedoes mentioned growth in PRN also incl charters?
No, as mentioned in the article the figures are for scheduled flights/frequencies.
DeleteThank you for the information @Admin!
DeleteWhat about TIRANA?
ReplyDeleteWhat is the name of this site?
Delete@Ex Yu @12:00, above Q1 levels, did you mean above 105k or percentage wise? Thanks
ReplyDeleteIt's 105k. Number of added seats.
Delete