LCC and two legacy carriers lead EX-YU summer growth


The 2025 summer season is fast approaching, now just two months away, with most airlines finalising their schedules. While further adjustments are anticipated, three carriers are emerging as the fastest growing in the former Yugoslav markets, based on the capacity added for the summer season, which spans from March 30 to October 25. Ryanair will continue to dominate during the summer, with an extra 624.502 seats already added. The airline has scheduled ten new routes out of Croatia, as well as five from Bosnia and Herzegovina. Overall, it is increasing its capacity by 23.3% on 2024. In Croatia alone, Ryanair has an extra 397.394 seats this summer for a total of 4.17 million, up 10.5% on last year, cementing its position as the country’s largest carrier. It is 2.1 million seats ahead of Croatia Airlines. Ryanair will also be the biggest in Bosnia and Herzegovina, with some 330.000 seats more than Turkish Airlines.

Lufthansa is currently the second fastest-growing airline across the former Yugoslav markets for the upcoming summer. It is growing its capacity by 222.989 seats or 19.7%. The Star Alliance member will once again have the most flights to Croatia, with frequencies increasing between twelve and thirteen weekly flights on last year during the peak summer travel period for an average of 62 to 65 weekly rotations. Seasonal operations to Dubrovnik will see the most flights added on the previous year. In Belgrade, the German flag carrier is increasing frequencies from both Frankfurt and Munich, reaching a peak of 42 weekly flights in August. Operations between Frankfurt and Tivat will be doubled for most of the summer and increased on select months from Munich as well. Lufthansa will be Slovenia’s largest airline over the summer, with some 31.000 seats more than Turkish Airlines.

Turkish Airlines will complete the top three, with an extra 184.972 seats or growth of 15.5%. This summer, the Turkish flag carrier is introducing a new four weekly service between Istanbul and Ohrid starting March 27. Furthermore, it is expanding its operations from Istanbul to both Zagreb and Ljubljana. After growing its frequencies from fourteen to eighteen weekly flights to the Croatian capital during the 2024 summer season, the airline now plans to increase flights to 21 weekly, offering three daily rotations between the two cities. These additional frequencies will be introduced starting March 30. From June 11, Turkish Airlines will serve the Slovenian capital eighteen times per week, up from last year’s fourteen weekly in June, thirteen weekly from July to September, and eleven weekly in October. The airline plans to run three daily rotations on Mondays, Wednesdays, Fridays and Saturdays, while two flights will be maintained on Tuesdays, Thursdays and Sundays.

Top five fastest growing airlines across former Yugoslav markets, S25


Air Serbia will be the fastest growing flag carrier originating from the region. It will continue to hold its position as the largest airline on the Serbian market, with some 2.8 million seats more than second-placed Wizz Air. In addition, the Serbian flag carrier will become the largest on the Montenegrin market this summer, with over 47.500 seats more than runner up Air Montenegro. Meanwhile, Wizz Air remains the largest in Macedonia with over 914.000 additional seats compared to second-placed Pegasus Airlines.

Capacity changes will inevitably continue in the lead-up to the summer season as airlines adjust operating equipment and frequencies.



Comments

  1. Anonymous09:01

    "the Serbian flag carrier will become the largest on the Montenegrin market this summer, with over 47.500 seats more than runner up Air Montenegro."

    Wow; will Air Montenegro operate with just its two E195 this summer? New CEO, new strategy ig?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:04

      Air Montenegro plans to lease another plane and their summer schedule has been made based on that but this summer Air Serbia is increasing Tivat while Ryanair has reduced flights. Air Montenegro used to be something like 5th or 6th largest last summer so this is a big improvement.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous13:21

      So AirMontenegro will be -1 plane compared to the last year (wet lease of e190 and a320)

      Delete
    3. Anonymous13:34

      Yes. But the new route to Baku is operating at night time. Plus I think they will have much less charters than last year.

      Delete
  2. Anonymous09:04

    Ryanair is getting massive in Croatia. Wasn't expecting over 2 million seats advantage over OU.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:08

      Croatia Airlines really needs to step up its game. Ryanair is eating up the market, and it’s clear that passengers are opting for cheaper flights

      Delete
    2. Anonymous09:11

      Ryanair’s dominance in Croatia is both a blessing and a curse. It’s affordable, but it’s a shame OU isn't keeping up.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous09:13

      The ten new Ryanair routes from Croatia are fantastic for tourism.

      Delete
    4. Anonymous09:16

      Only people who hate Croatia's tourism growth look at FR expansion as a curse.

      Delete
    5. Anonymous09:31

      Among other things, FR has such huge growth because its Dubrovnik base will be operational the entire summer. Last year they based planes in June I believe.

      Delete
    6. Croatian tourism is booming, they see quite big increase every year, lot of ot thanks to Ryanair...Spain itself is also one of the 2-3 biggest tourist destinations, yet I literally don't know any Spaniard who hasn't visited Croatia..and Croatia is hardly reachable by car from Spain..So what is the conclusion?

      Delete
    7. Anonymous15:39

      The conclusion is... that they arrived by train ;)

      Delete
  3. Anonymous09:08

    Croatia Airlines is really in a problem.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:20

      Croatia Airlines really needs to adapt. They’re losing out to Ryanair not just in capacity but also in perception. Time to rethink their strategy.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous09:45

      I hope Croatia Airlines fights back with more competitive prices and better routes.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous09:48

      Why should they after 30 years? They are a government run institution for incompetence.

      Delete
    4. Anonymous11:10

      No Croatia Airlines is adapting, new strategy, new aircraft, new management and new young people!

      Delete
    5. Anonymous11:11

      ^ It would be good for you to stop talking nonsense. There is no new management nor new young people.

      Delete
    6. Anonymous11:36

      Anon 11:10 seems to be smoking so serious stuff this morning.

      Delete
    7. Anonymous13:23

      11.10
      And what happens when you wake up?

      Delete
    8. Anonymous15:32

      People on this page really love OU.

      Delete
  4. Anonymous09:08

    I did not expect Lufthansa to be second. They are finally waking up again in ex-Yu.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:15

      Ex-Yu loves LH group airlines!

      Delete
  5. Anonymous09:09

    Sad to see that Wizz is nowhere on the list.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:12

      And that's even with the new routes from Skopje.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous09:30

      In SKP they will have less capacity than last year even with the new routes. Remember they are removing 5 so adding 3 makes no difference.

      Delete
    3. Well, that's their decision, noone's else..Just look what they did in past few days with stopping fuel tanking on BEG..they were dropping passengers in Budapest and Temisoara..Come on! I don't understand management of that company

      Delete
    4. Anonymous15:36

      @Treshnja
      Me too. On top of that Vinci is quiet towards W6 and it's capacity cuts in BEG.

      Delete
  6. Anonymous09:10

    I wish more airlines would focus beyond just Sarajevo in Bosnia. There’s so much untapped potential in cities like Mostar and Banja Luka

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:11

      +1

      Delete
    2. Anonymous09:52

      Mostar is like 1.5h away from Sarajevo Airport, with the construction of the new highway even less in a couple of years, so I doubt they have much chance competing against Sarajevo. They should just fly seasonal tourist charters probably.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous16:28

      Sarajevo is still far from reaching its potential, but efforts from all airports are made and all receive subsidy money

      Delete
  7. Anonymous09:14

    Most of KLM growth comes from Ljubljana, right?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:27

      That and they are upgrading plane on BEG route.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous13:29

      3 times daily to SPU, 2 times daily to ZAG and DBV, much more flights on 737 mainline then cityhopper embraers before, so I wouldn't say it's only LJU to produce growth, but it definitely is a good part of it, probably even the most, because of newly introduced flights

      Delete
  8. Anonymous09:14

    I expected JU to grow significantly more than just 3.9%
    What's happening with the E-jets that were supposed to come and fully replace the Marathon capacity?
    Also 2 more A330s result in only 3.9% overall capacity increase? Sounds strange to me.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:17

      They still haven't finalized their schedule. For example Ibiza, which they will be starting still hasn't been scheduled.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous09:18

      They added 2 more A330s but 1 A330 will be mostly on the ground and used just for back up or charters.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous09:18

      To seriously increase flying you first need to seriously increase your staff. Both aircrews and ground personnel.

      Delete
    4. Anonymous09:21

      If they can't find use for the 4th A330 on longhaul routes maybe they should use it over the summer on holiday charters that are in high demand.
      I can see it flying to Greece, Turkey, possibly Cyprus. Maybe even a few flights to TIV.

      Delete
    5. Anonymous09:27

      JU needs are turn to TLV market. Every European airline will restart flights in the next two months or it has already done so.

      Delete
    6. Anonymous09:27

      Who said they can't find use for it? From the very beginning they said that YU-ARC which isn't in great shape would be used as back up until it goes for cabin retrofit. An airline Air Serbia's size added 2 new long haul routes within 5 months which isn't a small feat, despite what some people here think.

      Delete
    7. Anonymous09:32

      ^ You are right, most people don't get it. They think JU should be adding A330s to the fleet every month and launching new long haul routes every other month. At the same time they would require JU to be extremely profitable.

      Delete
    8. Anonymous09:45

      09:27+09:32
      That is a very convoluted way to say that JU doesn't know what to do with the widebody capacity it is paying for so it will have 25% of its most expensive fleet sunbathing in BEG.

      Delete
    9. Anonymous09:50

      YU-ARC is on a power by the hour agreement. They don't pay for it while it is on the ground.

      Delete
    10. Anonymous09:52

      ^^^
      Sure thing, they got an A330 for free and are only paying its owner if they decide to fly it somewhere.
      SMFH...

      Delete
    11. Anonymous09:54

      ^ Instead of shaking your head, maybe you should read what a power by the hour agreement is.

      Delete
    12. Anonymous09:58

      Unlike you I have. There is no power by the hour contract without a minimum amount paid each month irrespective of hours flown.

      Delete
    13. Anonymous10:04

      Sending an A330 a few days a month to RHO, HER, AYT, TIV, FCO would be a great way of advertising ASL

      Delete
    14. Anonymous10:05

      The financial loss they would have with that would not be so great.

      Delete
    15. Anonymous10:17

      They should launch MIA and get some kind of cooperation with American Airlines to get connections from central and south America.
      Demand for travel to Europe from the US is huge and the US carriers have trouble fulfilling it because of insufficient widebody capacity.
      Boeing and Airbus have really screwed them over.

      Delete
    16. Anonymous10:19

      Anon 10:05
      I doubt a full A330 on a maximum 1.5 hour long flight would be loss making.
      Airlines in Europe are using them all the time on short haul hops in-between their regular long-haul schedule.

      Delete
    17. Anonymous11:33

      "Airlines in Europe" being Turkish Airlines. The cost of operating an A330 on a sub-90-minute route is 3x as high as for an A320. It's not just a question of fuel burn, there's also landing & other airport fees for a long-haul aircraft etc.

      Delete
    18. Anonymous11:44

      Airlines in Europe such as Air France, BA, Swiss, Edelweiss, Iberia, Air Europa,, El Al.
      Try to stay informed. Our region's airports are not the only airports in Europe.

      Delete
    19. Anonymous11:47

      TUI airlines too.

      Delete
    20. @09:27 Yes, they added 2 long haul routes, but they canceled 1, you forgot to mention that..So total increase in long haul is only 1 route..and 2 more new planes..Come on..

      Delete
    21. Anonymous12:28

      The president also "announced" NRT in his last trip to Japan.
      Capacity certainly exists for it.
      Then again he also has "announced" a return to CAI.

      Delete
    22. Anonymous12:31

      @ Treshnja
      No, the total increase is an extra 3 weekly long haul flights per week, each lasting a few hours longer than TSN. They have also announced that they plan to increase frequencies to China this summer. Application process with Chinese authorities take some time but they will announce it in around 2 months.

      Delete
    23. @12:31 ok, we were talking about routes, and not frequencies..2 new routes added, 1 canceled.. Total is +1..Maybe you forgot, but Air Serbia was granted flights to CAN long before the actual flights commenced, and most possible reason was lack of aircrafts..Also they were approved 3 flights weekly, they fly 2x now..For this route there shouldn't be problem to increase frequency even now..I hope you're right, and they add extra frequencies on those routes, but they would need to add many many more in order to utilize all capacities they have.. In my opinion that's very unlikely..Air Serbia needs to open new routes

      Delete
    24. Anonymous13:16

      Process of obtaining licenses to China is far more complicated than you think. Most people here think you apply and get them the next day. That they can simply launch new routes left right and center. What Air Serbia got months before they started flying to China is just one in a number of permits you have to get to fly to somewhere in China as a foreign carrier, especially a new one.

      Number of routes means nothing, what you have to look at is the frequency of flights. If they doubled their frequencies to New York to double daily would you say that's nothing because they still have 4 long haul routes but they no longer fly to Tianjin?

      Air Serbia is a relatively small airline. Adding long haul routes is an expensive and not so easy process. Yes, airlines like Lufthansa can add new long haul routes tomorrow if they wanted because they are a massive airline. But for Air Serbia which is obviously taking a lot of care with their finances despite what some people write here it is not cheap and not easy.

      Unfortunately a lot of the people here writing in the comments purely understand aviation as optics. So they are unhappy that Air Serbia added 2 new long haul routes in just 4 months because they want them to be adding a new route every single month. They scream if Air Serbia reduces frequencies on a particular route because it "looks bad" but they don't know that reducing those frequencies will result in less money wasted because the market is dynamic, especially after covid and demand is constantly changing. What might have worked 2 years ago may no longer work today.

      At the end of the day in 2024 they had record passenger numbers, record revenue, they will post record profit and will have the highest load factor the airline has had ever. So despite so many experts on here knowing better, they obviously are doing something right.

      Delete
    25. Yes, they need to be driven by profit, they are business company, not charity, and they need to research the market constantly..I'm not the one who criticizes closing of some routes, if they were not performing well, nor I'm calling for increase in frequencies in certain routes, if there is no enough demand to prove such an increase..I also understand that hong haul routes are big cookie, and it takes time for them to open and to be operational..Only thing I'm criticizing is acquiring so many wide body , expensive aircrafts, that you don't have a second plan for, if the first plan failed due to market changes..If they planned those aircrafts for something, say opening MIA, or whatever, and plan didn't work out, they had to have back up plan already prepared..Because all those planes shouldn't be sitting around, but flying, and that is just common sense, no need to be expert..So, they have to utilize those planes, or return them to lessor, if contract allows.. So far they didn't show us anything..That's not private company, but state owned ( which means, all of us)...They need to react quickly, they were pretty quick and proactive so far, so I expect them to be like that in this case as well...

      Delete
    26. Anonymous09:27

      Again, you don’t understand that good deal for widebodies couldn’t be found at every corner. You can’t take it in the summer and give it back in winter. So, when you see it, you take it. And it’s clearly said that new routes will not be announced before planes arrive, remembering some problems in the past. And last A330 is still due. Take patience

      Delete
  9. Anonymous09:14

    Expected KLM's growth to be bigger with new LJU route and more capacity to BEG.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:17

      KLM sure looks very determined to gain market share in our region!

      Delete
    2. Anonymous09:19

      True. I hope we see them even more in the region. In general, they are a good airline and AMS is convenient for transfers.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous09:33

      Better than Lufthansa, that's for sure.

      Delete
    4. Anonymous13:33

      Interesting people here talking KLM and mentioning BEG and LJU only and "forgetting" 7 daily flights to Croatia

      Delete
    5. Anonymous13:53

      Everyone wants to visit beautiful Dalmatia.

      Delete
  10. Anonymous09:20

    The new Turkish Airlines route to Ohrid is excellent news and I think a real game changer for that airport.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:32

      Best addition in OHD in years.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous09:49

      Exactly what the airport needed.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous10:39

      100%. Just looking at the aircraft TK deployed on this route, it really looks promising..

      Delete
    4. Anonymous14:08

      It will be busy route , great target for TK. Deploying big aircraft promise alot. I think this will also impact closer Albanian cities to fly from OHD then going to Tirana ...

      Delete
  11. Anonymous09:43

    Slovenia deserves more connectivity. Lufthansa is doing well, but we need more carriers.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Anonymous09:44

    We really need to see more full-service airlines coming to Skopje. I was hoping Lufthansa would introduce Munich too.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous14:09

      I was hoping to either Lufthansa or Eurowings to launch Munich , it is nice to see them in Macedonia ... I dont know why they domt show any interest even with thr subsieides

      Delete
    2. Anonymous15:15

      LH Group not doing bad in SKP: LH to FRA, OS to VIE, WK to ZRH...

      Delete
  13. Anonymous09:45

    I hope Air Serbia will consider launching more routes to Africa and the Middle East, where there’s growing demand. Return to Cairo would be more than welcome.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous09:46

      +1000
      TLV and CAI are must haves.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous09:48

      ^ agree

      Delete
    3. Anonymous09:56

      Saudi Arabia offers large incentives to foreign airlines to start flights to JED and RUH.
      It is a big and wealthy market and both JU and Belgrade could really benefit from it. Plus all the connections it could get from Saudi originating pax for the rest of its network.

      Just my2cents

      Delete
    4. Anonymous13:37

      Don't worry, if JU doesn't take that opportunity oferred by KSA, Jasmin will do it like tomorrow, as soon as he finishes sipping his coffee 🙂

      Delete
    5. Anonymous13:54

      It would be a smart thing to do and the A220 is ideal for such flights.

      Delete
    6. Anonymous14:35

      I fully agree. But it will probably happen about the same time they discontinue ZAG-SPU-FCO and start flying FCO nonstop, which means NEVER. Those people in Buzin are absolutely not capable and not interested in anything else but drinking coffee, gossiping and using ID tickets

      Delete
    7. Anonymous16:50

      What do you expect from a corrupt government entity? Jasmin and his coffee is world famous. All other airlines flying to Croatia have a good laugh as they can make good money flying to Croatia whilst these clowns run the national airline.

      Delete
  14. Anonymous09:52

    Now it would be interesting to see which airlines have the biggest decline compared to last year.

    ReplyDelete
  15. Anonymous09:53

    Thanks for the numbers. I like these articles because it gives us an understanding of what to expect. I remember last year that it was published during the summer that LJU, BEG, SKP would all have decreases this winter and it all turned out to be exactly that way. At least we were prepared :D

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous10:00

      Seems like with JU and W6 having anemic or no growth at all this year in BEG plus the suspension of flights to southern Russia BEG will have around 5% growth at best.
      VINCI should really look into attracting more airlines.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous10:24

      +1
      Along with the city of Belgrade VINCY should advertise and offer incentives to airlines start BEG or increasing their flights/routes.

      Delete
  16. Anonymous10:36

    Wasnt there supposed to be a big announcement regarding new INI flights in January?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous10:40

      No

      Delete
    2. Anonymous12:39

      Awesome, glad they laundered money building the new terminal so we can have two daily flights. Morava in the making.

      Delete
    3. Anonymous12:43

      I said that you made up that they said that new flights will be announced in January. What they have said is that they are in discussions with an LCC over a base, they had talks with Ryanair, and Swiss is launching flights this summer.

      Delete
    4. Anonymous16:03

      Ok as long as you say i made it up.

      Delete
    5. Anonymous16:16

      You absolutely did make it up. Provide a link where it was written they will announce new routes in January.

      Delete
  17. Anonymous11:05

    I hope Lufthansa considers adding more direct flights from Sarajevo

    ReplyDelete
  18. Anonymous11:07

    Glad to see KLM doing well, they’re decent avio carrier. Very pleasant staff, and only major carrier that still serving free drinks and sandwiches.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous11:47

      A3, AF and TK still do too.

      Delete
    2. Anonymous02:38

      A3 offers free meals and not snacks on European routes.

      Delete
  19. Anonymous15:12

    With Air Serbia adding 140k during summer season alone, Belgrade needs only 60k more growth from Air Serbia outside summer and all other airlines combined to get to 9M this year. Doable.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Anonymous16:54

      For BEG to get to 9 mil. it would need to 636.000 extra passengers. A 7.6% increase.
      It would be difficult unless there is much more increase in flying by JU and W6 than what they have announced so far.

      Delete

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